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BSK Banja Luka vs Famos Vojkovići — 1st League - RS 2019

BSK Banja Luka
BSK Banja Luka
FT
3 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Famos Vojkovići
Famos Vojkovići
5/7/20251st League - RS1st League - RS · RS - 29Stadion Čaire

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

BSK Banja Luka67%
×Draw20%
Famos Vojkovići13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BSK Banja Luka
2.04
Famos Vojkovići
0.77

BSK Banja Luka creates 165% more chances

Season form · 49 home / 66 away

creates per match

BSK Banja Luka
2.14
Famos Vojkovići
0.73

allows per match

BSK Banja Luka
0.82
Famos Vojkovići
1.94

finishing

BSK Banja Luka+0.00on par
Famos Vojkovići+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSK Banja Luka ↓

Famos Vojkovići →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

BSK Banja Luka or draw
87%
BSK Banja Luka or Famos Vojkovići
80%
Draw or Famos Vojkovići
33%

Winning margin

BSK Banja Luka wins by 2+
42%
Famos Vojkovići wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

BSK Banja Luka 1+ goals
87%
BSK Banja Luka 2+ goals
60%
BSK Banja Luka 3+ goals
33%
Famos Vojkovići 1+ goals
54%
Famos Vojkovići 2+ goals
18%
Famos Vojkovići 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

BSK Banja Luka (draw refunded)
84%
Famos Vojkovići (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSK Banja Luka at home — creates 2.14, concedes 0.82 · 49 matches

Famos Vojkovići away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.94 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSK Banja Luka attack 2.14 + Famos Vojkovići defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 2.04

Famos Vojkovići attack 0.73 + BSK Banja Luka defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

BSK Banja Luka scores more
67%
level
20%
Famos Vojkovići scores more
13%

BSK Banja Luka at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "BSK Banja Luka will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: BSK Banja Luka vs Famos Vojkovići

BSK Banja Luka beat Famos Vojkovići 3-0 in 1st League - RS on May 7, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Čaire in Banja Luka.