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BSC Young Boys vs Yverdon Sport — Friendlies Clubs 2026

BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
CANC
16:30
Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport
6/22/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportplatz Spitalacker

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

BSC Young Boys32%
×Draw24%
Yverdon Sport44%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

BSC Young Boys
1.35
Yverdon Sport
1.63

Yverdon Sport creates 21% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 5 away

creates per match

BSC Young Boys
2.50
Yverdon Sport
2.20

allows per match

BSC Young Boys
1.06
Yverdon Sport
0.20

finishing

BSC Young Boys+0.00on par
Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSC Young Boys ↓

Yverdon Sport →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

BSC Young Boys or draw
56%
BSC Young Boys or Yverdon Sport
76%
Draw or Yverdon Sport
68%

Winning margin

BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
14%
Yverdon Sport wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
74%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
39%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
15%
Yverdon Sport 1+ goals
80%
Yverdon Sport 2+ goals
48%
Yverdon Sport 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
42%
Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSC Young Boys at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

Yverdon Sport away — creates 2.20, concedes 0.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSC Young Boys attack 2.50 + Yverdon Sport defence 0.20 → ÷2 → 1.35

Yverdon Sport attack 2.20 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

BSC Young Boys scores more
32%
level
24%
Yverdon Sport scores more
44%

Yverdon Sport at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Yverdon Sport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: BSC Young Boys host Yverdon Sport

June 22, 2022: BSC Young Boys take on Yverdon Sport in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

BSC Young Boys host Yverdon Sport at Sportplatz Spitalacker.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.