BSC Young Boys 2–6 Grasshoppers: Result & Stats

BSC Young Boys

FT

2 – 6

HT: 1 – 3

Grasshoppers

C. Bedia 60'

A. Sanches 19'

L. Plange 90', 90', 85', 14' (pen)

O. Clemente 33'

J. Asp 3'

12/17/2025

Super League · Round 18Stadion Wankdorf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

BSC Young Boys52%

×Draw24%

Grasshoppers25%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BSC Young BoysExpected goals in this matchGrasshoppers

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.74

1.13

BSC Young Boys

1.74

Grasshoppers

1.13

BSC Young Boys creates 54% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 13 away

1.93

creates per match

1.12

1.14

allows per match

1.55

creates per match

BSC Young Boys

1.93

Grasshoppers

1.12

allows per match

BSC Young Boys

1.14

Grasshoppers

1.55

-0.43scores less than expected

finishing

-0.27scores less than expected

finishing

BSC Young Boys-0.43scores less

Grasshoppers-0.27scores less

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSC Young Boys ↓

Grasshoppers →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

BSC Young Boys or draw

75%

BSC Young Boys or Grasshoppers

76%

Draw or Grasshoppers

48%

Winning margin

BSC Young Boys wins by 2+

28%

Grasshoppers wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

BSC Young Boys 1+ goals

82%

BSC Young Boys 2+ goals

52%

BSC Young Boys 3+ goals

25%

Grasshoppers 1+ goals

68%

Grasshoppers 2+ goals

31%

Grasshoppers 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)

68%

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSC Young Boys at home — creates 1.93, concedes 1.14 · 6 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.55 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSC Young Boys attack 1.93 + Grasshoppers defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.74

Grasshoppers attack 1.12 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

BSC Young Boys scores more

52%

level

24%

Grasshoppers scores more

25%

BSC Young Boys at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

L. Plange

Grasshoppers · F

9.6

Match Events

3'

J. Asp↳ S. Krasniqi

14'

L. PlangePenalty

19'

A. Sanches↳ S. Cordova

33'

O. Clemente

35'

Óscar ClementeGoal confirmed

36'

46'

46'

60'

61'

A. Virginius← C. Fassnacht

61'

A. Gigovic← D. Pech

64'

S. Diarrassouba← S. Krasniqi

64'

M. Mantini← M. Ullmann

70'

Lovro ZvonarekPenalty confirmed

72'

N. Muci← O. Clemente

80'

Alvyn SanchesPenalty cancelled

82'

R. Raveloson← S. Lauper

85'

L. Plange

87'

Rayan RavelosonCard upgrade

88'

Rayan Raveloson

90+4'

T. Veron← J. Asp

90+4'

N. Rissi← S. Stroscio

90'

L. Plange↳ S. Diarrassouba

90'

L. Plange

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BSCGrasshoppers

Overview

59%Possession41%

15Total Shots18

7Corners1

6Fouls12

Shots

15Total Shots18

4On Target10

8Off Target6

3Blocked2

7Inside Box13

8Outside Box5

Passing

59%Possession41%

388Total Passes267

288Accurate Passes169

74%Pass Accuracy63%

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

Discipline

6Fouls12

0Yellow Cards1

1Red Cards0

4Offsides5