BSC Young Boys 0–0 Grasshoppers: Result & Stats

BSC Young Boys

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Grasshoppers

7/31/2021

Super League · Round 2Stadion Wankdorf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

BSC Young Boys54%

×Draw23%

Grasshoppers22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BSC Young BoysExpected goals in this matchGrasshoppers

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.79

1.06

BSC Young Boys

1.79

Grasshoppers

1.06

BSC Young Boys creates 69% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 27 away

1.76

creates per match

1.01

1.10

allows per match

1.83

creates per match

BSC Young Boys

1.76

Grasshoppers

1.01

allows per match

BSC Young Boys

1.10

Grasshoppers

1.83

-0.26scores less than expected

finishing

-0.08on par

finishing

BSC Young Boys-0.26scores less

Grasshoppers-0.08on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

BSC Young Boys ↓

Grasshoppers →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

BSC Young Boys or draw

78%

BSC Young Boys or Grasshoppers

77%

Draw or Grasshoppers

46%

Winning margin

BSC Young Boys wins by 2+

30%

Grasshoppers wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

BSC Young Boys 1+ goals

83%

BSC Young Boys 2+ goals

53%

BSC Young Boys 3+ goals

26%

Grasshoppers 1+ goals

65%

Grasshoppers 2+ goals

29%

Grasshoppers 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)

71%

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

BSC Young Boys at home — creates 1.76, concedes 1.10 · 8 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.83 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

BSC Young Boys attack 1.76 + Grasshoppers defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.79

Grasshoppers attack 1.01 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

BSC Young Boys scores more

54%

level

23%

Grasshoppers scores more

22%

BSC Young Boys at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

André Moreira

Grasshoppers · G

8.9

Match Events

19'

Toti Gomes

44'

Christopher Martins Pereira

46'

V. Sierro← M. Aebischer

46'

D. Diani← D. Schmid

50'

Amir Abrashi

62'

W. Kanga← J. Siebatcheu

62'

M. Sulejmani← M. Spielmann

67'

Nuno da Silva← A. Abrashi

67'

André Ribeiro← L. Campana

67'

N. Gjorgjev← P. Pušić

73'

U. Garcia← J. Lefort

81'

F. Rieder← C. Martins

83'

F. Fehr← E. Lenjani

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BSCGrasshoppers

Overview

68%Possession32%

28Total Shots3

12Corners2

10Fouls15

Shots

28Total Shots3

8On Target0

9Off Target2

11Blocked1

16Inside Box2

12Outside Box1

Passing

68%Possession32%

542Total Passes271

446Accurate Passes172

82%Pass Accuracy63%

Goalkeeping

0Saves8

Discipline

10Fouls15

1Yellow Cards2

2Offsides1