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Bryne vs Haugesund — 1. Division 2026

Bryne
Bryne
Preview
12:00
Haugesund
Haugesund
8/29/20261. Division1. Division · Round 20Bryne Stadion
Big match
43%
Haugesund
model favours
37%21%43%

Haugesund have scored in 11 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
78%
over 2.5 goals
76%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Bryne37%
×Draw21%
Haugesund43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bryne
1.98
Haugesund
2.13

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 69 home / 8 away

creates per match

Bryne
1.59
Haugesund
3.13

allows per match

Bryne
1.13
Haugesund
2.38

finishing

Bryne+0.00on par
Haugesund+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 78Under: 2278%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 76No: 2476%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bryne ↓

Haugesund →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
58%42%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Bryne or draw
57%
Bryne or Haugesund
79%
Draw or Haugesund
63%

Winning margin

Bryne wins by 2+
20%
Haugesund wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Bryne 1+ goals
86%
Bryne 2+ goals
59%
Bryne 3+ goals
31%
Haugesund 1+ goals
88%
Haugesund 2+ goals
63%
Haugesund 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

Bryne (draw refunded)
46%
Haugesund (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bryne at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.13 · 69 matches

Haugesund away — creates 3.13, concedes 2.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bryne attack 1.59 + Haugesund defence 2.38 → ÷2 → 1.98

Haugesund attack 3.13 + Bryne defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 2.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Bryne scores more
37%
level
21%
Haugesund scores more
43%

Haugesund at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 82% of Haugesund’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Haugesund have won 3 in a row
  • Both teams score in 82% of Haugesund’s matches
  • Bryne win just 30% against the top half (vs 56% against the bottom)
  • Their last 5 meetings averaged 3.6 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Bryne
DLWWW
Haugesund
WWLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Bryne host Haugesund

August 29, 2026: Bryne take on Haugesund in 1. Division. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Bryne host Haugesund at Bryne Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.