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Broadmeadow Magic vs Cooks Hill United — Northern NSW NPL 2026

Broadmeadow Magic
Broadmeadow Magic
FT
6 – 0
HT: 6 – 0
Cooks Hill United
Cooks Hill United
4/17/2026Northern NSW NPLNorthern NSW NPL · Round 8

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Broadmeadow Magic57%
×Draw20%
Cooks Hill United23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Broadmeadow Magic
2.34
Cooks Hill United
1.45

Broadmeadow Magic creates 61% more chances

Season form · 86 home / 52 away

creates per match

Broadmeadow Magic
2.72
Cooks Hill United
1.85

allows per match

Broadmeadow Magic
1.05
Cooks Hill United
1.96

finishing

Broadmeadow Magic+0.00on par
Cooks Hill United+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Broadmeadow Magic ↓

Cooks Hill United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Broadmeadow Magic or draw
77%
Broadmeadow Magic or Cooks Hill United
80%
Draw or Cooks Hill United
43%

Winning margin

Broadmeadow Magic wins by 2+
36%
Cooks Hill United wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Broadmeadow Magic 1+ goals
90%
Broadmeadow Magic 2+ goals
67%
Broadmeadow Magic 3+ goals
41%
Cooks Hill United 1+ goals
77%
Cooks Hill United 2+ goals
42%
Cooks Hill United 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Broadmeadow Magic (draw refunded)
71%
Cooks Hill United (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Broadmeadow Magic at home — creates 2.72, concedes 1.05 · 86 matches

Cooks Hill United away — creates 1.85, concedes 1.96 · 52 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Broadmeadow Magic attack 2.72 + Cooks Hill United defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 2.34

Cooks Hill United attack 1.85 + Broadmeadow Magic defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Broadmeadow Magic scores more
57%
level
20%
Cooks Hill United scores more
23%

Broadmeadow Magic at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Broadmeadow Magic will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Northern NSW NPL: Broadmeadow Magic 6–0 Cooks Hill United

Broadmeadow Magic beat Cooks Hill United 6-0 in Northern NSW NPL on April 17, 2026.