Bristol City 0–2 Coventry: Result & Stats

Bristol City

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Coventry

H. Wright 45'

T. Sakamoto 37'

3/7/2026

Championship · Round 36Ashton Gate Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 53+ matches

Bristol City35%

×Draw26%

Coventry39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bristol CityExpected goals in this matchCoventry

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.36

Bristol City

1.27

Coventry

1.36

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 58 home / 53 away

1.31

creates per match

1.49

1.23

allows per match

1.24

creates per match

Bristol City

1.31

Coventry

1.49

allows per match

Bristol City

1.23

Coventry

1.24

+0.16scores more than expected

finishing

+0.04on par

finishing

Bristol City+0.16scores more

Coventry+0.04on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bristol City ↓

Coventry →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–110%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Bristol City or draw

61%

Bristol City or Coventry

74%

Draw or Coventry

65%

Winning margin

Bristol City wins by 2+

15%

Coventry wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Bristol City 1+ goals

72%

Bristol City 2+ goals

36%

Bristol City 3+ goals

14%

Coventry 1+ goals

74%

Coventry 2+ goals

39%

Coventry 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Bristol City (draw refunded)

47%

Coventry (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bristol City at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.23 · 58 matches

Coventry away — creates 1.49, concedes 1.24 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bristol City attack 1.31 + Coventry defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.27

Coventry attack 1.49 + Bristol City defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Bristol City scores more

35%

level

26%

Coventry scores more

39%

Coventry at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Coventry will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19

C. Rushworth

Coventry · G

8.9

Match Events

29'

Adam Randell

37'

T. Sakamoto↳ J. Dasilva

43'

Joel Latibeaudiere

45+7'

Neto Borges

45'

Ephron Mason-Clark

45+1'

L. Kitching← E. Mason-Clark

45'

H. Wright

46'

S. Twine← C. Pring

46'

J. Bidwell← T. Sakamoto

56'

Adam Randell

56'

Adam Randell

62'

M. Bird← S. Armstrong

62'

G. Earthy← M. Sykes

63'

D. Burgzorg← T. Horvat

77'

E. Simms← H. Wright

77'

F. Onyeka← J. Eccles

78'

Victor Torp

79'

S. Bell← E. Riis

84'

B. Thomas-Asante← V. Torp

90+6'

Noah Eile

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BristolCoventry

Overview

60%Possession40%

24Total Shots10

1.91Expected Goals (xG)1.50

11Corners3

9Fouls6

Shots

24Total Shots10

6On Target7

8Off Target3

10Blocked0

11Inside Box7

13Outside Box3

Passing

60%Possession40%

488Total Passes341

418Accurate Passes269

86%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

5Saves6

1.12Goals Prevented1.12

Discipline

9Fouls6

4Yellow Cards2

1Red Cards1

3Offsides0

Championship: Bristol City 0–2 Coventry

Coventry beat Bristol City 2-0 in Championship on March 7, 2026.

Goals: T. Sakamoto (37'), H. Wright (45').

Bristol City controlled possession (60%) and registered 24 shots to 10.

The match was played at Ashton Gate Stadium in Bristol.

Bristol City vs Coventry — Championship 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Championship: Bristol City 0–2 Coventry