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Breitenrain vs BSC Young Boys — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Breitenrain
Breitenrain
CANC
15:30
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
6/22/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportplatz Spitalacker

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Breitenrain57%
×Draw21%
BSC Young Boys21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Breitenrain
2.04
BSC Young Boys
1.16

Breitenrain creates 76% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 5 away

creates per match

Breitenrain
2.29
BSC Young Boys
1.60

allows per match

Breitenrain
0.71
BSC Young Boys
1.80

finishing

Breitenrain+0.00on par
BSC Young Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Breitenrain ↓

BSC Young Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Breitenrain or draw
79%
Breitenrain or BSC Young Boys
79%
Draw or BSC Young Boys
43%

Winning margin

Breitenrain wins by 2+
34%
BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Breitenrain 1+ goals
87%
Breitenrain 2+ goals
60%
Breitenrain 3+ goals
33%
BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
69%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
32%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Breitenrain (draw refunded)
73%
BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Breitenrain at home — creates 2.29, concedes 0.71 · 7 matches

BSC Young Boys away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Breitenrain attack 2.29 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.04

BSC Young Boys attack 1.60 + Breitenrain defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Breitenrain scores more
57%
level
21%
BSC Young Boys scores more
21%

Breitenrain at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Breitenrain will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Breitenrain face BSC Young Boys (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Breitenrain hosting BSC Young Boys. Match starts June 22, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Breitenrain host BSC Young Boys at Sportplatz Spitalacker.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.