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Bravo vs Austria Klagenfurt — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Bravo
Bravo
CANC
13:00
Austria Klagenfurt
Austria Klagenfurt
1/17/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Bravo29%
×Draw20%
Austria Klagenfurt51%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bravo
1.71
Austria Klagenfurt
2.30

Austria Klagenfurt creates 35% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 8 away

creates per match

Bravo
1.78
Austria Klagenfurt
3.38

allows per match

Bravo
1.22
Austria Klagenfurt
1.63

finishing

Bravo+0.00on par
Austria Klagenfurt+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bravo ↓

Austria Klagenfurt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–25%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–28%
1–36%
1–44%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Bravo or draw
49%
Bravo or Austria Klagenfurt
80%
Draw or Austria Klagenfurt
71%

Winning margin

Bravo wins by 2+
14%
Austria Klagenfurt wins by 2+
31%

Team goals

Bravo 1+ goals
82%
Bravo 2+ goals
51%
Bravo 3+ goals
24%
Austria Klagenfurt 1+ goals
90%
Austria Klagenfurt 2+ goals
67%
Austria Klagenfurt 3+ goals
40%

Draw no bet

Bravo (draw refunded)
36%
Austria Klagenfurt (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bravo at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

Austria Klagenfurt away — creates 3.38, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bravo attack 1.78 + Austria Klagenfurt defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.71

Austria Klagenfurt attack 3.38 + Bravo defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 2.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Bravo scores more
29%
level
20%
Austria Klagenfurt scores more
51%

Austria Klagenfurt at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Austria Klagenfurt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Bravo vs Austria Klagenfurt — Match Preview

Bravo face Austria Klagenfurt on January 17, 2025 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Bravo host Austria Klagenfurt at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.