Bolívar 0–0 Blooming: Result & Stats

Bolívar

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Blooming

10/27/2024

Primera División · Clausura - 20Estadio Hernando Siles

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 131+ matches

Bolívar73%

×Draw16%

Blooming11%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BolívarExpected goals in this matchBlooming

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.63

0.92

Bolívar

2.63

Blooming

0.92

Bolívar creates 186% more chances

Season form · 133 home / 131 away

2.95

creates per match

0.99

0.85

allows per match

2.31

creates per match

Bolívar

2.95

Blooming

0.99

allows per match

Bolívar

0.85

Blooming

2.31

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bolívar+0.00on par

Blooming+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bolívar ↓

Blooming →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–17%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–15%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Bolívar or draw

89%

Bolívar or Blooming

84%

Draw or Blooming

27%

Winning margin

Bolívar wins by 2+

52%

Blooming wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Bolívar 1+ goals

93%

Bolívar 2+ goals

73%

Bolívar 3+ goals

48%

Blooming 1+ goals

60%

Blooming 2+ goals

23%

Blooming 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Bolívar (draw refunded)

87%

Blooming (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bolívar at home — creates 2.95, concedes 0.85 · 133 matches

Blooming away — creates 0.99, concedes 2.31 · 131 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bolívar attack 2.95 + Blooming defence 2.31 → ÷2 → 2.63

Blooming attack 0.99 + Bolívar defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Bolívar scores more

73%

level

16%

Blooming scores more

11%

Bolívar at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Bolívar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

B. Uraezaña

Blooming · G

8.3

Match Events

46'

Bruno Sávio← Fábio Gomes

46'

Y. Rocha← L. Paz

54'

Moisés Villarroel

55'

Arquímedes Figuera

61'

J. Arce← Rafinha

71'

D. Durán← C. Romero

71'

R. Spenhay← M. Villarroel

71'

F. Arismendi← S. Garzón

73'

Renzo Orihuela

73'

Leonel Justiniano

77'

J. Velásquez← C. Melgar

86'

86'

90+8'

90+4'

90+5'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BolívarBlooming

Overview

73%Possession27%

22Total Shots4

12Corners3

12Fouls13

Shots

22Total Shots4

4On Target3

10Off Target0

8Blocked1

7Inside Box3

15Outside Box1

Passing

73%Possession27%

466Total Passes181

396Accurate Passes110

85%Pass Accuracy61%

Goalkeeping

4Saves5

Discipline

12Fouls13

2Yellow Cards5

0Red Cards1

0Offsides2