Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Blooming vs Bolívar — Primera División 2026

Blooming
Blooming
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 2
Bolívar
Bolívar
Bruno Sávio 90+5'
R. Vaca 89', 6'
P. Rodríguez 77'
F. Saucedo 13'
7/14/2024Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Clausura - 5Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 130+ matches

Blooming39%
×Draw24%
Bolívar38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blooming
1.58
Bolívar
1.56

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 130 home / 135 away

creates per match

Blooming
1.82
Bolívar
2.01

allows per match

Blooming
1.12
Bolívar
1.35

finishing

Blooming+0.00on par
Bolívar+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blooming ↓

Bolívar →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Blooming or draw
62%
Blooming or Bolívar
76%
Draw or Bolívar
61%

Winning margin

Blooming wins by 2+
19%
Bolívar wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Blooming 1+ goals
79%
Blooming 2+ goals
47%
Blooming 3+ goals
21%
Bolívar 1+ goals
79%
Bolívar 2+ goals
46%
Bolívar 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Blooming (draw refunded)
51%
Bolívar (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blooming at home — creates 1.82, concedes 1.12 · 130 matches

Bolívar away — creates 2.01, concedes 1.35 · 135 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blooming attack 1.82 + Bolívar defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.58

Bolívar attack 2.01 + Blooming defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Blooming scores more
39%
level
24%
Bolívar scores more
38%

Blooming at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Blooming will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10
Bruno SávioBolívarBolívar · F
9.5

Match Events

-5'
Juan Arce
6'
R. Vaca
13'
F. Saucedo↳ P. Rodríguez
20'
César RomeroGoal cancelled
23'
Carlos Lampe
25'
Arquímedes FigueraCard upgrade
26'
Arquímedes Figuera
29'
César Romero
44'
Leonel Justiniano
45+5'
Patricio Rodríguez
46'
R. Spenhay← S. Garzón
46'
G. Bazan← H. Suárez
46'
Álex Granell← L. Justiniano
60'
J. Velásquez← L. Chávez
65'
M. Villarroel← O. Siles
65'
J. Arce← F. Arismendi
71'
Alex Granell
77'
P. Rodríguez↳ Bruno Sávio
78'
L. Paz← E. Vaca
78'
C. Melgar← F. Saucedo
79'
R. Cuéllar← C. Menacho
79'
H. Vaca← P. Rodríguez
89'
R. Vaca↳ Bruno Sávio
90+3'
Denilson Duran
90+1'
Richet Gomez Miranda
90+1'
Henry Vaca
90+5'
Bruno Sávio↳ J. Velásquez

Possession

35%Blooming

Shots

7Blooming

Pass accuracy

45%Blooming

Statistics

BloomingBolívar
Overview
35%Possession65%
7Total Shots15
1Corners1
9Fouls16
Shots
7Total Shots15
3On Target8
1Off Target5
3Blocked2
3Inside Box12
4Outside Box3
Passing
35%Possession65%
271Total Passes511
185Accurate Passes426
68%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
Discipline
9Fouls16
4Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
1Offsides5

Match Recap: Blooming vs Bolívar

Bolívar beat Blooming 5-0 in Primera División on July 14, 2024.

Goals: R. Vaca (6', 89'), F. Saucedo (13'), P. Rodríguez (77'), Bruno Sávio (90+5').

Bolívar controlled possession (65%) and registered 15 shots to 7.

The match was played at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas in Santa Cruz de la Sierra.