Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bohemians 1905 II vs Pardubice II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Bohemians 1905 II
Bohemians 1905 II
FT
2 – 6
HT: 1 – 2
Pardubice II
Pardubice II
1/19/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Bohemians 1905 II38%
×Draw20%
Pardubice II42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bohemians 1905 II
2.15
Pardubice II
2.27

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 7 home / 5 away

creates per match

Bohemians 1905 II
2.29
Pardubice II
2.40

allows per match

Bohemians 1905 II
2.14
Pardubice II
2.00

finishing

Bohemians 1905 II+0.00on par
Pardubice II+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bohemians 1905 II ↓

Pardubice II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
81%19%3.5
64%36%4.5
44%56%

Double chance

Bohemians 1905 II or draw
58%
Bohemians 1905 II or Pardubice II
80%
Draw or Pardubice II
62%

Winning margin

Bohemians 1905 II wins by 2+
21%
Pardubice II wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Bohemians 1905 II 1+ goals
88%
Bohemians 1905 II 2+ goals
63%
Bohemians 1905 II 3+ goals
36%
Pardubice II 1+ goals
90%
Pardubice II 2+ goals
66%
Pardubice II 3+ goals
39%

Draw no bet

Bohemians 1905 II (draw refunded)
47%
Pardubice II (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bohemians 1905 II at home — creates 2.29, concedes 2.14 · 7 matches

Pardubice II away — creates 2.40, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bohemians 1905 II attack 2.29 + Pardubice II defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.15

Pardubice II attack 2.40 + Bohemians 1905 II defence 2.14 → ÷2 → 2.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Bohemians 1905 II scores more
38%
level
20%
Pardubice II scores more
42%

Pardubice II at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Pardubice II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Bohemians 1905 II 2–6 Pardubice II

Pardubice II beat Bohemians 1905 II 6-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 19, 2024.