Bodo/Glimt 6–1 ODD Ballklubb: Result & Stats

Bodo/Glimt

FT

6 – 1

HT: 4 – 1

ODD Ballklubb

U. Saltnes 58', 31'

V. Boniface 56'

J. Hauge 42', 26' (pen)

S. Rossbach 14' (OG)

K. Jakobsen 1'

9/13/2020

Eliteserien · Round 17Aspmyra Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 18+ matches

Bodo/Glimt70%

×Draw17%

ODD Ballklubb12%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bodo/GlimtExpected goals in this matchODD Ballklubb

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.38

0.89

Bodo/Glimt

2.38

ODD Ballklubb

0.89

Bodo/Glimt creates 167% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 18 away

2.55

creates per match

0.98

0.80

allows per match

2.22

creates per match

Bodo/Glimt

2.55

ODD Ballklubb

0.98

allows per match

Bodo/Glimt

0.80

ODD Ballklubb

2.22

+0.45scores more than expected

finishing

+0.19scores more than expected

finishing

Bodo/Glimt+0.45scores more

ODD Ballklubb+0.19scores more

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bodo/Glimt ↓

ODD Ballklubb →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–13%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–18%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–18%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–15%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

63%37%3.5

41%59%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Bodo/Glimt or draw

88%

Bodo/Glimt or ODD Ballklubb

83%

Draw or ODD Ballklubb

30%

Winning margin

Bodo/Glimt wins by 2+

47%

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Bodo/Glimt 1+ goals

91%

Bodo/Glimt 2+ goals

68%

Bodo/Glimt 3+ goals

42%

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

59%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

22%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Bodo/Glimt (draw refunded)

85%

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bodo/Glimt at home — creates 2.55, concedes 0.80 · 37 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 0.98, concedes 2.22 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bodo/Glimt attack 2.55 + ODD Ballklubb defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 2.38

ODD Ballklubb attack 0.98 + Bodo/Glimt defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Bodo/Glimt scores more

70%

level

17%

ODD Ballklubb scores more

12%

Bodo/Glimt at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Bodo/Glimt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

8

V. Boniface

Bodo/Glimt · F

8.9

Match Events

1'

K. Jakobsen

12'

Marius Lode

14'

S. RossbachOwn goal

21'

Sondre Fet

26'

J. HaugePenalty

31'

U. Saltnes↳ J. Hauge

42'

J. Hauge↳ S. Fet

55'

Birk Risa

56'

V. Boniface

58'

U. Saltnes↳ V. Boniface

59'

O. Sveen← S. Fet

59'

M. Høibråten← M. Lode

62'

F. Nordkvelle← M. Kaasa

62'

R. Simovic← M. Bakenga

70'

O. Ugwuadu← K. Jakobsen

71'

A. Foosnæs← F. Bjørkan

71'

O. Solbakken← J. Hauge

82'

E. Hagen← V. Boniface

84'

B. Njie← E. Rashani

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Bodo/GlimtODD

Overview

49%Possession51%

22Total Shots5

6Corners3

13Fouls10

Shots

22Total Shots5

11On Target2

6Off Target2

5Blocked1

15Inside Box1

7Outside Box4

Passing

49%Possession51%

458Total Passes460

382Accurate Passes385

83%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

13Fouls10

2Yellow Cards1

1Offsides5

Eliteserien: Bodo/Glimt 6–1 ODD Ballklubb

Bodo/Glimt beat ODD Ballklubb 6-1 in Eliteserien on September 13, 2020.

Goals: K. Jakobsen (1'), S. Rossbach (14' o.g.), J. Hauge (26' pen, 42'), U. Saltnes (31', 58'), V. Boniface (56').

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (51%) and registered 5 shots to 22.

The match was played at Aspmyra Stadion in Bodø.

Bodo/Glimt vs ODD Ballklubb — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Bodo/Glimt 6–1 ODD Ballklubb