Scoreo

Blooming vs RB BragantinoCONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

Blooming
Blooming
FT
06
HT: 03
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
5/8/2026CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL Sudamericana · Group Stage - 4Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Blooming26%
×Draw22%
RB Bragantino52%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blooming
1.30
RB Bragantino
1.94

RB Bragantino creates 49% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 18 away

creates per match

Blooming
1.44
RB Bragantino
1.89

allows per match

Blooming
2.00
RB Bragantino
1.17

finishing

Blooming+0.00on par
RB Bragantino+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blooming

RB Bragantino
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
018%
027%
035%
042%
1
105%
1110%
1210%
136%
143%
2
203%
216%
226%
234%
242%
3
301%
313%
323%
332%
341%
4
400%
411%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Blooming or draw
48%
Blooming or RB Bragantino
78%
Draw or RB Bragantino
74%

Winning margin

Blooming wins by 2+
11%
RB Bragantino wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Blooming 1+ goals
73%
Blooming 2+ goals
37%
Blooming 3+ goals
14%
RB Bragantino 1+ goals
86%
RB Bragantino 2+ goals
58%
RB Bragantino 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Blooming (draw refunded)
33%
RB Bragantino (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blooming at homecreates 1.44, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

RB Bragantino awaycreates 1.89, concedes 1.17 · 18 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blooming attack 1.44 + RB Bragantino defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.30

RB Bragantino attack 1.89 + Blooming defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Blooming scores more
26%
level
22%
RB Bragantino scores more
52%

RB Bragantino at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "RB Bragantino will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

20
RodriguinhoRB BragantinoRB Bragantino · M
10.0

Possession

44%Blooming

Shots

5Blooming

Pass accuracy

49%Blooming

Statistics

BloomingRB
Overview
44%Possession56%
5Total Shots23
0.13Expected Goals (xG)3.15
2Corners3
10Fouls11
Shots
5Total Shots23
2On Target15
3Off Target5
0Blocked3
1Inside Box17
4Outside Box6
Passing
44%Possession56%
309Total Passes398
248Accurate Passes332
80%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
8Saves2
0.05Goals Prevented0.05
Discipline
10Fouls11
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
1Offsides1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana: Blooming 0–6 RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino beat Blooming 6-0 in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on May 8, 2026.

Goals: Rodriguinho (5', 61'), Gustavo Neves (11'), Eduardo Sasha (45'), Gustavo Marques (49'), Fernando Santos (59').

RB Bragantino controlled possession (56%) and registered 23 shots to 5.

The match was played at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas in Santa Cruz.