Scoreo

Blooming vs ABBPrimera División 2026

Blooming
Blooming
FT
60
HT: 40
ABB
ABB
C. Menacho 72', 20'
D. Duran 24'
12/3/2025Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Apertura - 27Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Blooming64%
×Draw19%
ABB17%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blooming
2.29
ABB
1.11

Blooming creates 106% more chances

Season form · 129 home / 21 away

creates per match

Blooming
1.81
ABB
1.10

allows per match

Blooming
1.12
ABB
2.76

finishing

Blooming+0.00on par
ABB+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blooming

ABB
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
014%
022%
031%
040%
1
108%
119%
125%
132%
140%
2
209%
2110%
225%
232%
241%
3
307%
317%
324%
332%
340%
4
404%
414%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Blooming or draw
83%
Blooming or ABB
81%
Draw or ABB
36%

Winning margin

Blooming wins by 2+
41%
ABB wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Blooming 1+ goals
90%
Blooming 2+ goals
66%
Blooming 3+ goals
40%
ABB 1+ goals
67%
ABB 2+ goals
30%
ABB 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Blooming (draw refunded)
79%
ABB (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blooming at homecreates 1.81, concedes 1.12 · 129 matches

ABB awaycreates 1.10, concedes 2.76 · 21 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blooming attack 1.81 + ABB defence 2.76 → ÷2 → 2.29

ABB attack 1.10 + Blooming defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Blooming scores more
64%
level
19%
ABB scores more
17%

Blooming at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Blooming will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Blooming
ABB
55'G. CentellaL. Chavez
55'C. RomeroJ. Valverde
55'S. SevericheR. Spenhay
81'R. MelgarG. Vadala
86'M. A. BecerraM. Enoumba
27'R. OrihuelaP. Loza
46'D. GutierrezM. Galindo
46'J. RivasG. Rea Mendieta
78'E. CondoriA. Cervantes
79'J. VediaB. Espinoza

Primera División: Blooming 6–0 ABB

Blooming beat ABB 6-0 in Primera División on December 3, 2025.

Goals: M. Villarroel (3'), M. Enoumba (7'), C. Menacho (20', 72'), D. Duran (24'), R. Gomez Miranda (88').

The match was played at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas in Santa Cruz.