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Blackpool vs Wycombe — League One 2018

Blackpool
Blackpool
Preview
14:00
Wycombe
Wycombe
8/15/2026League OneLeague One · Round 1Bloomfield Road
Big match
43%
Blackpool
model favours
43%26%31%
1–1
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 133+ matches

Blackpool43%
×Draw26%
Wycombe31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blackpool
1.43
Wycombe
1.18

Blackpool creates 21% more chances

Season form · 133 home / 158 away

creates per match

Blackpool
1.53
Wycombe
1.26

allows per match

Blackpool
1.09
Wycombe
1.32

finishing

Blackpool+0.00on par
Wycombe+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Wycombe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw
69%
Blackpool or Wycombe
74%
Draw or Wycombe
57%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+
20%
Wycombe wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals
76%
Blackpool 2+ goals
42%
Blackpool 3+ goals
17%
Wycombe 1+ goals
69%
Wycombe 2+ goals
33%
Wycombe 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)
58%
Wycombe (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.09 · 133 matches

Wycombe away — creates 1.26, concedes 1.32 · 158 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.53 + Wycombe defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.43

Wycombe attack 1.26 + Blackpool defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Blackpool scores more
43%
level
26%
Wycombe scores more
31%

Blackpool at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Blackpool will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Wycombe fall short of their xG (1.4 vs 2.0 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Blackpool
Balanced
Wycombe
Attack-heavy
47%Possession47%
71%Pass accuracy65%
10.8Shots12.4
1.20xGBiggest gap2.00
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BlackpoolWycombe

Head-to-head

9 previous meetings

1
Blackpool
6
Draws
2
Wycombe
Avg goals: 1.8BTTS: 56%
1–01–11–12–20–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Blackpool
LWWWW
Wycombe
LLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Blackpool vs Wycombe — Match Preview

Blackpool face Wycombe on August 15, 2026 in this League One fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Blackpool host Wycombe at Bloomfield Road.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.