Blackpool 0–0 Wycombe: Result & Stats | League One

Blackpool

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Wycombe

4/1/2024

League One · Round 42Bloomfield Road

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Blackpool37%

×Draw23%

Wycombe40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BlackpoolExpected goals in this matchWycombe

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.61

1.67

Blackpool

1.61

Wycombe

1.67

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

1.49

creates per match

1.72

1.63

allows per match

1.74

creates per match

Blackpool

1.49

Wycombe

1.72

allows per match

Blackpool

1.63

Wycombe

1.74

-0.11scores less than expected

finishing

-0.58scores less than expected

finishing

Blackpool-0.11scores less

Wycombe-0.58scores less

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Wycombe →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–28%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw

60%

Blackpool or Wycombe

77%

Draw or Wycombe

63%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+

18%

Wycombe wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals

80%

Blackpool 2+ goals

48%

Blackpool 3+ goals

22%

Wycombe 1+ goals

81%

Wycombe 2+ goals

50%

Wycombe 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)

48%

Wycombe (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Wycombe away — creates 1.72, concedes 1.74 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.49 + Wycombe defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.61

Wycombe attack 1.72 + Blackpool defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Blackpool scores more

37%

level

23%

Wycombe scores more

40%

Wycombe at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Wycombe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

F. Ravizzoli

Wycombe · G

7.6

Match Events

14'

Oliver Norburn

20'

Joe Low

42'

F. Potts← J. Scowen

63'

J. Beesley← K. Joseph

63'

K. Dembélé← S. Lavery

64'

G. Byers← O. Norburn

65'

S. Vokes← D. Wheeler

65'

G. Kodua← C. Campbell

75'

Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel

76'

K. Kouassi← S. Carey

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BlackpoolWycombe

Overview

52%Possession48%

12Total Shots8

4Corners1

14Fouls16

Shots

12Total Shots8

5On Target1

6Off Target4

1Blocked3

9Inside Box5

3Outside Box3

Passing

52%Possession48%

378Total Passes362

245Accurate Passes226

65%Pass Accuracy62%

Goalkeeping

1Saves5

Discipline

14Fouls16

2Yellow Cards1

1Offsides3