Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bitam vs Stade Mandji — Championnat D1 2022

Bitam
Bitam
AWD
0 – 3
Stade Mandji
Stade Mandji
3/28/2026Championnat D1Championnat D1 · Round 4Stade Gaston Peyrille

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Bitam32%
×Draw30%
Stade Mandji38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bitam
1.00
Stade Mandji
1.10

Stade Mandji creates 10% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 31 away

creates per match

Bitam
1.17
Stade Mandji
0.94

allows per match

Bitam
1.27
Stade Mandji
0.84

finishing

Bitam+0.00on par
Stade Mandji+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bitam ↓

Stade Mandji →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–113%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Bitam or draw
62%
Bitam or Stade Mandji
70%
Draw or Stade Mandji
68%

Winning margin

Bitam wins by 2+
12%
Stade Mandji wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Bitam 1+ goals
63%
Bitam 2+ goals
26%
Bitam 3+ goals
8%
Stade Mandji 1+ goals
67%
Stade Mandji 2+ goals
30%
Stade Mandji 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Bitam (draw refunded)
46%
Stade Mandji (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bitam at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.27 · 30 matches

Stade Mandji away — creates 0.94, concedes 0.84 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bitam attack 1.17 + Stade Mandji defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 1.00

Stade Mandji attack 0.94 + Bitam defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Bitam scores more
32%
level
30%
Stade Mandji scores more
38%

Stade Mandji at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Stade Mandji will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Bitam face Stade Mandji (Championnat D1)

Championnat D1 returns with Bitam hosting Stade Mandji. Match starts March 28, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Bitam host Stade Mandji at Stade Gaston Peyrille.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.