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Bibiani Gold Stars vs Swedru All Blacks — Premier League 2019

Bibiani Gold Stars
Bibiani Gold Stars
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Swedru All Blacks
Swedru All Blacks
2/1/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 21Bibiani Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Bibiani Gold Stars54%
×Draw27%
Swedru All Blacks18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bibiani Gold Stars
1.41
Swedru All Blacks
0.69

Bibiani Gold Stars creates 104% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 17 away

creates per match

Bibiani Gold Stars
1.58
Swedru All Blacks
0.76

allows per match

Bibiani Gold Stars
0.61
Swedru All Blacks
1.24

finishing

Bibiani Gold Stars+0.00on par
Swedru All Blacks+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bibiani Gold Stars ↓

Swedru All Blacks →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Bibiani Gold Stars or draw
82%
Bibiani Gold Stars or Swedru All Blacks
73%
Draw or Swedru All Blacks
46%

Winning margin

Bibiani Gold Stars wins by 2+
27%
Swedru All Blacks wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Bibiani Gold Stars 1+ goals
76%
Bibiani Gold Stars 2+ goals
41%
Bibiani Gold Stars 3+ goals
17%
Swedru All Blacks 1+ goals
50%
Swedru All Blacks 2+ goals
15%
Swedru All Blacks 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Bibiani Gold Stars (draw refunded)
75%
Swedru All Blacks (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bibiani Gold Stars at home — creates 1.58, concedes 0.61 · 84 matches

Swedru All Blacks away — creates 0.76, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bibiani Gold Stars attack 1.58 + Swedru All Blacks defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.41

Swedru All Blacks attack 0.76 + Bibiani Gold Stars defence 0.61 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Bibiani Gold Stars scores more
54%
level
27%
Swedru All Blacks scores more
18%

Bibiani Gold Stars at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Bibiani Gold Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bibiani Gold Stars vs Swedru All Blacks

Bibiani Gold Stars beat Swedru All Blacks 1-0 in Premier League on February 1, 2026.

The match was played at Bibiani Park in Bibiani.