Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Hearts of Oak — Premier League 2019

Bibiani Gold Stars
Bibiani Gold Stars
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Hearts of Oak
Hearts of Oak
3/23/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 25Bibiani Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Bibiani Gold Stars49%
×Draw30%
Hearts of Oak20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bibiani Gold Stars
1.22
Hearts of Oak
0.67

Bibiani Gold Stars creates 82% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 108 away

creates per match

Bibiani Gold Stars
1.58
Hearts of Oak
0.72

allows per match

Bibiani Gold Stars
0.61
Hearts of Oak
0.86

finishing

Bibiani Gold Stars+0.00on par
Hearts of Oak+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bibiani Gold Stars ↓

Hearts of Oak →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–110%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Bibiani Gold Stars or draw
80%
Bibiani Gold Stars or Hearts of Oak
70%
Draw or Hearts of Oak
51%

Winning margin

Bibiani Gold Stars wins by 2+
22%
Hearts of Oak wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Bibiani Gold Stars 1+ goals
70%
Bibiani Gold Stars 2+ goals
34%
Bibiani Gold Stars 3+ goals
12%
Hearts of Oak 1+ goals
49%
Hearts of Oak 2+ goals
15%
Hearts of Oak 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Bibiani Gold Stars (draw refunded)
71%
Hearts of Oak (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bibiani Gold Stars at home — creates 1.58, concedes 0.61 · 84 matches

Hearts of Oak away — creates 0.72, concedes 0.86 · 108 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bibiani Gold Stars attack 1.58 + Hearts of Oak defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.22

Hearts of Oak attack 0.72 + Bibiani Gold Stars defence 0.61 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Bibiani Gold Stars scores more
49%
level
30%
Hearts of Oak scores more
20%

Bibiani Gold Stars at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Bibiani Gold Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Bibiani Gold Stars 1–1 Hearts of Oak

Bibiani Gold Stars and Hearts of Oak drew 1-1 in Premier League on March 23, 2025.

The match was played at Bibiani Park in Bibiani.