Bibiani Gold Stars 0–0 Asante Kotoko

Bibiani Gold Stars

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Asante Kotoko

1/17/2026

Premier League · Round 19Bibiani Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Bibiani Gold Stars48%

×Draw30%

Asante Kotoko22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bibiani Gold StarsExpected goals in this matchAsante Kotoko

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.23

0.72

Bibiani Gold Stars

1.23

Asante Kotoko

0.72

Bibiani Gold Stars creates 71% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 109 away

1.58

creates per match

0.84

0.61

allows per match

0.87

creates per match

Bibiani Gold Stars

1.58

Asante Kotoko

0.84

allows per match

Bibiani Gold Stars

0.61

Asante Kotoko

0.87

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bibiani Gold Stars+0.00on par

Asante Kotoko+0.00on par

Total goals

Under69
Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bibiani Gold Stars ↓

Asante Kotoko →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–110%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

58%42%2.5

31%69%3.5

13%87%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Bibiani Gold Stars or draw

78%

Bibiani Gold Stars or Asante Kotoko

70%

Draw or Asante Kotoko

52%

Winning margin

Bibiani Gold Stars wins by 2+

22%

Asante Kotoko wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Bibiani Gold Stars 1+ goals

71%

Bibiani Gold Stars 2+ goals

35%

Bibiani Gold Stars 3+ goals

13%

Asante Kotoko 1+ goals

51%

Asante Kotoko 2+ goals

16%

Asante Kotoko 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Bibiani Gold Stars (draw refunded)

69%

Asante Kotoko (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bibiani Gold Stars at home — creates 1.58, concedes 0.61 · 84 matches

Asante Kotoko away — creates 0.84, concedes 0.87 · 109 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bibiani Gold Stars attack 1.58 + Asante Kotoko defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.23

Asante Kotoko attack 0.84 + Bibiani Gold Stars defence 0.61 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Bibiani Gold Stars scores more

48%

level

30%

Asante Kotoko scores more

22%

Bibiani Gold Stars at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Bibiani Gold Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff