Beykoz İshaklıspor vs İnkılapspor

Beykoz İshaklıspor

Preview

14:00

İnkılapspor

10/11/2026

League #552 · 3. Lig Group 1 - 6

38%

İnkılapspor

model favours

32%30%38%

0–1

likely score

64%

under 2.5 goals

43%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Beykoz İshaklıspor32%

×Draw30%

İnkılapspor38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Beykoz İshaklısporExpected goals in this matchİnkılapspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.00

1.13

Beykoz İshaklıspor

1.00

İnkılapspor

1.13

İnkılapspor creates 13% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 4 away

1.25

creates per match

1.25

1.00

allows per match

0.75

creates per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor

1.25

İnkılapspor

1.25

allows per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor

1.00

İnkılapspor

0.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Beykoz İshaklıspor+0.00on par

İnkılapspor+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beykoz İshaklıspor ↓

İnkılapspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–113%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–17%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

17%83%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Beykoz İshaklıspor or draw

62%

Beykoz İshaklıspor or İnkılapspor

70%

Draw or İnkılapspor

68%

Winning margin

Beykoz İshaklıspor wins by 2+

12%

İnkılapspor wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Beykoz İshaklıspor 1+ goals

63%

Beykoz İshaklıspor 2+ goals

26%

Beykoz İshaklıspor 3+ goals

8%

İnkılapspor 1+ goals

68%

İnkılapspor 2+ goals

31%

İnkılapspor 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Beykoz İshaklıspor (draw refunded)

45%

İnkılapspor (draw refunded)

55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beykoz İshaklıspor at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

İnkılapspor away — creates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beykoz İshaklıspor attack 1.25 + İnkılapspor defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.00

İnkılapspor attack 1.25 + Beykoz İshaklıspor defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Beykoz İshaklıspor scores more

32%

level

30%

İnkılapspor scores more

38%

İnkılapspor at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "İnkılapspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form

İshaklıspor

DDDDD

İnkılapspor

LWDDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Beykoz İshaklıspor host İnkılapspor

October 11, 2026: Beykoz İshaklıspor take on İnkılapspor in League #552. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.

Beykoz İshaklıspor vs İnkılapspor — League #552 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Preview: Beykoz İshaklıspor host İnkılapspor