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Berekum Chelsea vs Bechem United — Premier League 2019

Berekum Chelsea
Berekum Chelsea
FT
3 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Bechem United
Bechem United
5/24/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 34Golden City Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 108+ matches

Berekum Chelsea55%
×Draw27%
Bechem United18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Berekum Chelsea
1.44
Bechem United
0.70

Berekum Chelsea creates 106% more chances

Season form · 110 home / 108 away

creates per match

Berekum Chelsea
1.32
Bechem United
0.82

allows per match

Berekum Chelsea
0.58
Bechem United
1.55

finishing

Berekum Chelsea+0.00on par
Bechem United+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Berekum Chelsea ↓

Bechem United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Berekum Chelsea or draw
82%
Berekum Chelsea or Bechem United
73%
Draw or Bechem United
45%

Winning margin

Berekum Chelsea wins by 2+
28%
Bechem United wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Berekum Chelsea 1+ goals
76%
Berekum Chelsea 2+ goals
42%
Berekum Chelsea 3+ goals
18%
Bechem United 1+ goals
50%
Bechem United 2+ goals
16%
Bechem United 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Berekum Chelsea (draw refunded)
75%
Bechem United (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Berekum Chelsea at home — creates 1.32, concedes 0.58 · 110 matches

Bechem United away — creates 0.82, concedes 1.55 · 108 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Berekum Chelsea attack 1.32 + Bechem United defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.44

Bechem United attack 0.82 + Berekum Chelsea defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 0.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Berekum Chelsea scores more
55%
level
27%
Bechem United scores more
18%

Berekum Chelsea at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Berekum Chelsea will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Berekum Chelsea vs Bechem United

Berekum Chelsea beat Bechem United 3-2 in Premier League on May 24, 2026.

The match was played at Golden City Park in Berekum.