Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
63%
Over
37%
Under
Both Score
64%
Yes
36%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10%
2-1
9%
1-2
8%
xG Profile (5 home / 7 away matches)
Benfica
xG 1.77 · xGA 1.06
-0.17 vs xG
Real Madrid
xG 1.89 · xGA 1.76
+0.54 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Benfica vs Real Madrid — UEFA Champions League 2026
UEFA Champions League·2026📍Estádio da Luz- Date
- Feb 17, 2026, 8:00 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · Round of 32
- Referee
- F. Letexier
- Venue
- Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Benfica
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54159%
- Under 2.52841%
Both teams scored
- Yes3652%
- No3348%
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.57264%
- Under 2.54136%
Both teams scored
- Yes6457%
- No4943%
Match Events
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NiceIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Benfica host Real Madrid on Tuesday, 17 February 2026 at 20:00. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
UEFA Champions League: Benfica 0–1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid beat Benfica 1-0 in UEFA Champions League on February 17, 2026.
Goals: Vinicius Junior (50').
Real Madrid controlled possession (58%) and registered 16 shots to 10.
The match was played at Estádio da Luz in Lisbon.