Belgium U19 0–0 England U19: Result & Stats

Belgium U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

England U19

11/19/2024

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 7Stadion Lokomotiv

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Belgium U1923%

×Draw24%

England U1953%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Belgium U19Expected goals in this matchEngland U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.06

1.72

Belgium U19

1.06

England U19

1.72

England U19 creates 62% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 10 away

1.83

creates per match

2.50

0.94

allows per match

0.30

creates per match

Belgium U19

1.83

England U19

2.50

allows per match

Belgium U19

0.94

England U19

0.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Belgium U19+0.00on par

England U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Belgium U19 ↓

England U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–111%

0–29%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–42%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Belgium U19 or draw

47%

Belgium U19 or England U19

76%

Draw or England U19

77%

Winning margin

Belgium U19 wins by 2+

9%

England U19 wins by 2+

29%

Team goals

Belgium U19 1+ goals

65%

Belgium U19 2+ goals

29%

Belgium U19 3+ goals

9%

England U19 1+ goals

82%

England U19 2+ goals

51%

England U19 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Belgium U19 (draw refunded)

31%

England U19 (draw refunded)

69%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Belgium U19 at home — creates 1.83, concedes 0.94 · 18 matches

England U19 away — creates 2.50, concedes 0.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Belgium U19 attack 1.83 + England U19 defence 0.30 → ÷2 → 1.06

England U19 attack 2.50 + Belgium U19 defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Belgium U19 scores more

23%

level

24%

England U19 scores more

53%

England U19 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "England U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

58'

J. Acheampong

63'

H. Murray-Campbell← J. Acheampong

63'

J. Derry← T. George

63'

S. Amo-Ameyaw← K. Young

65'

A. Verstraeten← L. Goemaere

65'

W. Da Costa← R. Mirisola

73'

E. Nwaneri← J. King

76'

S. Lazar← W. Da Costa

86'

J. Derry

90'

N. Verkooijen← R. Bounida

90'

L. Orford← T. Nyoni

Belgium

England

1

Setford

18

Abbott

2

▼

Acheampon

19

Lewis-Ske

6

Dyer

8

▼

King

16

▼

Nyoni

7

▼

Young

17

Black

11

▼

20

1

17

13

3

10

▼

Bounida

6

▼

Goemaere

5

Hoogen

15

Bawuah

9

▼

Mirisola

20

Furo

19

Wola-Wets

Manager: Jonathan Alves

65'▲A. Verstraeten←▼L. Goemaere

65'▲W. Da Costa←▼R. Mirisola

76'▲S. Lazar←▼W. Da Costa

90'▲N. Verkooijen←▼R. Bounida

Belgium U19 substitutes

14Verstraeten18Costa7Lazar11Verkooijen2Opoku12Lendfers16Cat

Manager: W. Antwi

63'▲H. Murray-Campbell←▼J. Acheampong

63'▲J. Derry←▼T. George

63'▲S. Amo-Ameyaw←▼K. Young

73'▲E. Nwaneri←▼J. King

90'▲L. Orford←▼T. Nyoni

England U19 substitutes

5Murray-Campbell14Derry15Amo-Ameyaw10Nwaneri4Orford9Wheatley13Herrick12Johnson3Meghoma

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Belgium U19 0–0 England U19

Belgium U19 and England U19 drew 0-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on November 19, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Lokomotiv in Plovdiv.

Belgium U19 vs England U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Belgium U19 0–0 England U19