Scoreo

Beerschot VA vs Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs 2026

Big match
53%
Zulte Waregem
model favours
24%23%53%

Zulte Waregem have won 10 in a row

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Beerschot VA24%
×Draw23%
Zulte Waregem53%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Beerschot VA
1.20
Zulte Waregem
1.87

Zulte Waregem creates 56% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 14 away

creates per match

Beerschot VA
1.40
Zulte Waregem
2.93

allows per match

Beerschot VA
0.80
Zulte Waregem
1.00

finishing

Beerschot VA+0.00on par
Zulte Waregem+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beerschot VA

Zulte Waregem
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
019%
028%
035%
042%
1
106%
1110%
1210%
136%
143%
2
203%
216%
226%
234%
242%
3
301%
313%
322%
331%
341%
4
400%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Beerschot VA or draw
47%
Beerschot VA or Zulte Waregem
77%
Draw or Zulte Waregem
76%

Winning margin

Beerschot VA wins by 2+
10%
Zulte Waregem wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Beerschot VA 1+ goals
70%
Beerschot VA 2+ goals
34%
Beerschot VA 3+ goals
12%
Zulte Waregem 1+ goals
85%
Zulte Waregem 2+ goals
56%
Zulte Waregem 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Beerschot VA (draw refunded)
32%
Zulte Waregem (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beerschot VA at homecreates 1.40, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Zulte Waregem awaycreates 2.93, concedes 1.00 · 14 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beerschot VA attack 1.40 + Zulte Waregem defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.20

Zulte Waregem attack 2.93 + Beerschot VA defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.87

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Beerschot VA scores more
24%
level
23%
Zulte Waregem scores more
53%

Zulte Waregem at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Zulte Waregem will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Zulte Waregem are unbeaten in 12 straight
  • Beerschot VA have scored in 13 games running
  • Zulte Waregem have scored in 12 games running
  • Beerschot VA score first in only 23% of matches
  • Zulte Waregem score first in only 27% of matches
  • 69% of Beerschot VA’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
VA
LWLL
Waregem
WWWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Beerschot VA host Zulte Waregem

August 1, 2026: Beerschot VA take on Zulte Waregem in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.