Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Barbados Soccer Academy vs Wotton — Premier League 2019

Barbados Soccer Academy
Barbados Soccer Academy
FT
0 – 6
Wotton
Wotton
5/6/2024Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 7Wildey Turf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Barbados Soccer Academy19%
×Draw16%
Wotton65%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Barbados Soccer Academy
1.61
Wotton
3.03

Wotton creates 88% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 44 away

creates per match

Barbados Soccer Academy
0.73
Wotton
1.80

allows per match

Barbados Soccer Academy
4.27
Wotton
2.50

finishing

Barbados Soccer Academy+0.00on par
Wotton+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Barbados Soccer Academy ↓

Wotton →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–25%
0–35%
0–44%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–27%
1–37%
1–46%
2
2–01%
2–14%
2–26%
2–36%
2–45%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
84%16%3.5
67%33%4.5
48%52%

Double chance

Barbados Soccer Academy or draw
35%
Barbados Soccer Academy or Wotton
84%
Draw or Wotton
81%

Winning margin

Barbados Soccer Academy wins by 2+
8%
Wotton wins by 2+
46%

Team goals

Barbados Soccer Academy 1+ goals
80%
Barbados Soccer Academy 2+ goals
48%
Barbados Soccer Academy 3+ goals
22%
Wotton 1+ goals
95%
Wotton 2+ goals
80%
Wotton 3+ goals
57%

Draw no bet

Barbados Soccer Academy (draw refunded)
22%
Wotton (draw refunded)
78%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Barbados Soccer Academy at home — creates 0.73, concedes 4.27 · 11 matches

Wotton away — creates 1.80, concedes 2.50 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Barbados Soccer Academy attack 0.73 + Wotton defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 1.61

Wotton attack 1.80 + Barbados Soccer Academy defence 4.27 → ÷2 → 3.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Barbados Soccer Academy scores more
19%
level
16%
Wotton scores more
65%

Wotton at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Wotton will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Barbados Soccer Academy vs Wotton

Wotton beat Barbados Soccer Academy 6-0 in Premier League on May 6, 2024.

The match was played at Wildey Turf in Bridgetown.