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Baník Ostrava vs Artis — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
FT
2 – 0
Artis
Artis
7/10/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion SK Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Baník Ostrava62%
×Draw19%
Artis18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Baník Ostrava
2.31
Artis
1.18

Baník Ostrava creates 96% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 19 away

creates per match

Baník Ostrava
2.89
Artis
1.68

allows per match

Baník Ostrava
0.67
Artis
1.74

finishing

Baník Ostrava+0.00on par
Artis+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Baník Ostrava ↓

Artis →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Baník Ostrava or draw
82%
Baník Ostrava or Artis
81%
Draw or Artis
38%

Winning margin

Baník Ostrava wins by 2+
40%
Artis wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Baník Ostrava 1+ goals
90%
Baník Ostrava 2+ goals
67%
Baník Ostrava 3+ goals
40%
Artis 1+ goals
69%
Artis 2+ goals
33%
Artis 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Baník Ostrava (draw refunded)
77%
Artis (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Baník Ostrava at home — creates 2.89, concedes 0.67 · 9 matches

Artis away — creates 1.68, concedes 1.74 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Baník Ostrava attack 2.89 + Artis defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 2.31

Artis attack 1.68 + Baník Ostrava defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Baník Ostrava scores more
62%
level
19%
Artis scores more
18%

Baník Ostrava at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Baník Ostrava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Baník Ostrava vs Artis

Baník Ostrava beat Artis 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 10, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion SK Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž in Kroměříž.