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Artis vs Baník Ostrava — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Artis
Artis
CANC
09:00
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
7/17/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion SK Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Artis50%
×Draw23%
Baník Ostrava27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Artis
1.77
Baník Ostrava
1.24

Artis creates 43% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 16 away

creates per match

Artis
2.17
Baník Ostrava
1.81

allows per match

Artis
0.67
Baník Ostrava
1.38

finishing

Artis+0.00on par
Baník Ostrava+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Artis ↓

Baník Ostrava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Artis or draw
73%
Artis or Baník Ostrava
77%
Draw or Baník Ostrava
50%

Winning margin

Artis wins by 2+
27%
Baník Ostrava wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Artis 1+ goals
83%
Artis 2+ goals
53%
Artis 3+ goals
26%
Baník Ostrava 1+ goals
71%
Baník Ostrava 2+ goals
35%
Baník Ostrava 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Artis (draw refunded)
65%
Baník Ostrava (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Artis at home — creates 2.17, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

Baník Ostrava away — creates 1.81, concedes 1.38 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Artis attack 2.17 + Baník Ostrava defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.77

Baník Ostrava attack 1.81 + Artis defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Artis scores more
50%
level
23%
Baník Ostrava scores more
27%

Artis at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Artis will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Artis face Baník Ostrava (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Artis hosting Baník Ostrava. Match starts July 17, 2021. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Artis host Baník Ostrava at Stadion SK Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.