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Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar — Premier League 2019

Balestier Khalsa
Balestier Khalsa
FT
6 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Tanjong Pagar
Tanjong Pagar
5/9/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 21Bishan Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 70+ matches

Balestier Khalsa48%
×Draw19%
Tanjong Pagar32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Balestier Khalsa
2.50
Tanjong Pagar
2.04

Balestier Khalsa creates 23% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 70 away

creates per match

Balestier Khalsa
2.10
Tanjong Pagar
1.47

allows per match

Balestier Khalsa
2.60
Tanjong Pagar
2.89

finishing

Balestier Khalsa+0.00on par
Tanjong Pagar+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

80%Yes
  • Yes80
  • No20

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Balestier Khalsa ↓

Tanjong Pagar →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

Balestier Khalsa or draw
68%
Balestier Khalsa or Tanjong Pagar
81%
Draw or Tanjong Pagar
52%

Winning margin

Balestier Khalsa wins by 2+
30%
Tanjong Pagar wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Balestier Khalsa 1+ goals
92%
Balestier Khalsa 2+ goals
71%
Balestier Khalsa 3+ goals
45%
Tanjong Pagar 1+ goals
87%
Tanjong Pagar 2+ goals
60%
Tanjong Pagar 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Balestier Khalsa (draw refunded)
60%
Tanjong Pagar (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
74%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Balestier Khalsa at home — creates 2.10, concedes 2.60 · 82 matches

Tanjong Pagar away — creates 1.47, concedes 2.89 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Balestier Khalsa attack 2.10 + Tanjong Pagar defence 2.89 → ÷2 → 2.50

Tanjong Pagar attack 1.47 + Balestier Khalsa defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 2.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Balestier Khalsa scores more
48%
level
19%
Tanjong Pagar scores more
32%

Balestier Khalsa at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Balestier Khalsa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Balestier Khalsa 6–0 Tanjong Pagar

Balestier Khalsa beat Tanjong Pagar 6-0 in Premier League on May 9, 2026.

The match was played at Bishan Stadium in Singapore.