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Bad Schallerbach vs Wohnbau Dietach — Landesliga - Oberosterreich 2019

Bad Schallerbach
Bad Schallerbach
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Wohnbau Dietach
Wohnbau Dietach
4/11/2025Landesliga - OberosterreichLandesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 21Sportplatz SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Bad Schallerbach35%
×Draw23%
Wohnbau Dietach42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bad Schallerbach
1.63
Wohnbau Dietach
1.79

Wohnbau Dietach creates 10% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 45 away

creates per match

Bad Schallerbach
2.15
Wohnbau Dietach
2.16

allows per match

Bad Schallerbach
1.41
Wohnbau Dietach
1.11

finishing

Bad Schallerbach+0.00on par
Wohnbau Dietach+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bad Schallerbach ↓

Wohnbau Dietach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Bad Schallerbach or draw
58%
Bad Schallerbach or Wohnbau Dietach
77%
Draw or Wohnbau Dietach
65%

Winning margin

Bad Schallerbach wins by 2+
17%
Wohnbau Dietach wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Bad Schallerbach 1+ goals
80%
Bad Schallerbach 2+ goals
48%
Bad Schallerbach 3+ goals
22%
Wohnbau Dietach 1+ goals
83%
Wohnbau Dietach 2+ goals
53%
Wohnbau Dietach 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Bad Schallerbach (draw refunded)
46%
Wohnbau Dietach (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bad Schallerbach at home — creates 2.15, concedes 1.41 · 74 matches

Wohnbau Dietach away — creates 2.16, concedes 1.11 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bad Schallerbach attack 2.15 + Wohnbau Dietach defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.63

Wohnbau Dietach attack 2.16 + Bad Schallerbach defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Bad Schallerbach scores more
35%
level
23%
Wohnbau Dietach scores more
42%

Wohnbau Dietach at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Wohnbau Dietach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Oberosterreich: Bad Schallerbach 2–0 Wohnbau Dietach

Bad Schallerbach beat Wohnbau Dietach 2-0 in Landesliga - Oberosterreich on April 11, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach in Bad Schallerbach.