Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Autol vs Oyonesa — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2019

Autol
Autol
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Oyonesa
Oyonesa
4/26/2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Group 16 - 32Estadio La Manzanera

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Autol29%
×Draw28%
Oyonesa43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Autol
1.04
Oyonesa
1.33

Oyonesa creates 28% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 109 away

creates per match

Autol
0.88
Oyonesa
1.33

allows per match

Autol
1.32
Oyonesa
1.20

finishing

Autol+0.00on par
Oyonesa+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Autol ↓

Oyonesa →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–112%
0–28%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Autol or draw
57%
Autol or Oyonesa
72%
Draw or Oyonesa
71%

Winning margin

Autol wins by 2+
11%
Oyonesa wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Autol 1+ goals
65%
Autol 2+ goals
28%
Autol 3+ goals
9%
Oyonesa 1+ goals
74%
Oyonesa 2+ goals
38%
Oyonesa 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Autol (draw refunded)
40%
Oyonesa (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Autol at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.32 · 34 matches

Oyonesa away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.20 · 109 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Autol attack 0.88 + Oyonesa defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.04

Oyonesa attack 1.33 + Autol defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Autol scores more
29%
level
28%
Oyonesa scores more
43%

Oyonesa at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Oyonesa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Autol 0 – 0 Oyonesa

Autol and Oyonesa drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 on April 26, 2026.

The match was played at Estadio La Manzanera in Autol.