Austria Lustenau II 6–0 Hittisau: Result & Stats

Austria Lustenau II

FT

6 – 0

Hittisau

10/14/2022

Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga · Vorarlberg - 14Planet Pure Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Austria Lustenau II61%

×Draw18%

Hittisau21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Austria Lustenau IIExpected goals in this matchHittisau

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.63

1.50

Austria Lustenau II

2.63

Hittisau

1.50

Austria Lustenau II creates 75% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 15 away

2.00

creates per match

1.20

1.80

allows per match

3.27

creates per match

Austria Lustenau II

2.00

Hittisau

1.20

allows per match

Austria Lustenau II

1.80

Hittisau

3.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Austria Lustenau II+0.00on par

Hittisau+0.00on par

Total goals

Over78
Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria Lustenau II ↓

Hittisau →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–12%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–04%

1–16%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–15%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

92%8%2.5

78%22%3.5

58%42%4.5

38%62%

Double chance

Austria Lustenau II or draw

79%

Austria Lustenau II or Hittisau

82%

Draw or Hittisau

39%

Winning margin

Austria Lustenau II wins by 2+

40%

Hittisau wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Austria Lustenau II 1+ goals

93%

Austria Lustenau II 2+ goals

73%

Austria Lustenau II 3+ goals

48%

Hittisau 1+ goals

78%

Hittisau 2+ goals

44%

Hittisau 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Austria Lustenau II (draw refunded)

75%

Hittisau (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

65%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria Lustenau II at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.80 · 41 matches

Hittisau away — creates 1.20, concedes 3.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria Lustenau II attack 2.00 + Hittisau defence 3.27 → ÷2 → 2.63

Hittisau attack 1.20 + Austria Lustenau II defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Austria Lustenau II scores more

61%

level

18%

Hittisau scores more

21%

Austria Lustenau II at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Austria Lustenau II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Austria Lustenau II vs Hittisau

Austria Lustenau II beat Hittisau 6-0 in Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga on October 14, 2022.

The match was played at Planet Pure Stadion in Lustenau.

Austria Lustenau II vs Hittisau — Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Austria Lustenau II vs Hittisau