Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Austria Klagenfurt vs FC BW Linz — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Austria Klagenfurt
Austria Klagenfurt
CANC
00:00
FC BW Linz
FC BW Linz
7/2/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Austria Klagenfurt33%
×Draw21%
FC BW Linz46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Austria Klagenfurt
1.71
FC BW Linz
2.04

FC BW Linz creates 19% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 9 away

creates per match

Austria Klagenfurt
2.08
FC BW Linz
2.22

allows per match

Austria Klagenfurt
1.85
FC BW Linz
1.33

finishing

Austria Klagenfurt+0.00on par
FC BW Linz+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria Klagenfurt ↓

FC BW Linz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–28%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Austria Klagenfurt or draw
54%
Austria Klagenfurt or FC BW Linz
79%
Draw or FC BW Linz
67%

Winning margin

Austria Klagenfurt wins by 2+
16%
FC BW Linz wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Austria Klagenfurt 1+ goals
82%
Austria Klagenfurt 2+ goals
51%
Austria Klagenfurt 3+ goals
24%
FC BW Linz 1+ goals
87%
FC BW Linz 2+ goals
60%
FC BW Linz 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Austria Klagenfurt (draw refunded)
42%
FC BW Linz (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria Klagenfurt at home — creates 2.08, concedes 1.85 · 13 matches

FC BW Linz away — creates 2.22, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria Klagenfurt attack 2.08 + FC BW Linz defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.71

FC BW Linz attack 2.22 + Austria Klagenfurt defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 2.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Austria Klagenfurt scores more
33%
level
21%
FC BW Linz scores more
46%

FC BW Linz at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "FC BW Linz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Austria Klagenfurt vs FC BW Linz — Match Preview

Austria Klagenfurt face FC BW Linz on July 2, 2021 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Austria Klagenfurt host FC BW Linz at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.