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Attram de Visser vs True Democracy — Division One League 2025

Attram de Visser
Attram de Visser
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
True Democracy
True Democracy
5/15/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 30

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Attram de Visser47%
×Draw29%
True Democracy24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Attram de Visser
1.27
True Democracy
0.83

Attram de Visser creates 53% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Attram de Visser
1.33
True Democracy
0.93

allows per match

Attram de Visser
0.73
True Democracy
1.20

finishing

Attram de Visser+0.00on par
True Democracy+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Attram de Visser ↓

True Democracy →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Attram de Visser or draw
76%
Attram de Visser or True Democracy
71%
Draw or True Democracy
53%

Winning margin

Attram de Visser wins by 2+
21%
True Democracy wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Attram de Visser 1+ goals
72%
Attram de Visser 2+ goals
36%
Attram de Visser 3+ goals
14%
True Democracy 1+ goals
56%
True Democracy 2+ goals
20%
True Democracy 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Attram de Visser (draw refunded)
66%
True Democracy (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Attram de Visser at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.73 · 15 matches

True Democracy away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.20 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Attram de Visser attack 1.33 + True Democracy defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.27

True Democracy attack 0.93 + Attram de Visser defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Attram de Visser scores more
47%
level
29%
True Democracy scores more
24%

Attram de Visser at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Attram de Visser will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Attram de Visser 2–1 True Democracy

Attram de Visser beat True Democracy 2-1 in Division One League on May 15, 2026.