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Atert Bissen vs F91 Dudelange — National Division 2018

Atert Bissen
Atert Bissen
Preview
14:00
F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange
8/2/2026National DivisionNational Division · Round 1
44%
Atert Bissen
model favours
44%23%32%

F91 Dudelange win just 47% against the top half (vs 79% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Atert Bissen44%
×Draw23%
F91 Dudelange32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Atert Bissen
1.73
F91 Dudelange
1.45

Atert Bissen creates 19% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 112 away

creates per match

Atert Bissen
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.29

allows per match

Atert Bissen
0.60
F91 Dudelange
1.13

finishing

Atert Bissen+0.00on par
F91 Dudelange+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Atert Bissen ↓

F91 Dudelange →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Atert Bissen or draw
68%
Atert Bissen or F91 Dudelange
77%
Draw or F91 Dudelange
56%

Winning margin

Atert Bissen wins by 2+
23%
F91 Dudelange wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Atert Bissen 1+ goals
82%
Atert Bissen 2+ goals
52%
Atert Bissen 3+ goals
25%
F91 Dudelange 1+ goals
77%
F91 Dudelange 2+ goals
42%
F91 Dudelange 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Atert Bissen (draw refunded)
58%
F91 Dudelange (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Atert Bissen at home — creates 2.33, concedes 0.60 · 15 matches

F91 Dudelange away — creates 2.29, concedes 1.13 · 112 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Atert Bissen attack 2.33 + F91 Dudelange defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.73

F91 Dudelange attack 2.29 + Atert Bissen defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Atert Bissen scores more
44%
level
23%
F91 Dudelange scores more
32%

Atert Bissen at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Atert Bissen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Bissen
LWLWW
Dudelange
WWLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Atert Bissen host F91 Dudelange

August 2, 2026: Atert Bissen take on F91 Dudelange in National Division. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.