Atert Bissen 2–0 F91 Dudelange: Result & Stats

Atert Bissen

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

F91 Dudelange

2/15/2026

National Division · Round 17

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Atert Bissen44%

×Draw23%

F91 Dudelange33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Atert BissenExpected goals in this matchF91 Dudelange

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

1.47

Atert Bissen

1.73

F91 Dudelange

1.47

Atert Bissen creates 18% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 110 away

2.33

creates per match

2.34

0.60

allows per match

1.12

creates per match

Atert Bissen

2.33

F91 Dudelange

2.34

allows per match

Atert Bissen

0.60

F91 Dudelange

1.12

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Atert Bissen+0.00on par

F91 Dudelange+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Atert Bissen ↓

F91 Dudelange →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Atert Bissen or draw

67%

Atert Bissen or F91 Dudelange

77%

Draw or F91 Dudelange

56%

Winning margin

Atert Bissen wins by 2+

23%

F91 Dudelange wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Atert Bissen 1+ goals

82%

Atert Bissen 2+ goals

52%

Atert Bissen 3+ goals

25%

F91 Dudelange 1+ goals

77%

F91 Dudelange 2+ goals

43%

F91 Dudelange 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Atert Bissen (draw refunded)

57%

F91 Dudelange (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Atert Bissen at home — creates 2.33, concedes 0.60 · 15 matches

F91 Dudelange away — creates 2.34, concedes 1.12 · 110 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Atert Bissen attack 2.33 + F91 Dudelange defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.73

F91 Dudelange attack 2.34 + Atert Bissen defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Atert Bissen scores more

44%

level

23%

F91 Dudelange scores more

33%

Atert Bissen at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Atert Bissen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff