Asker 2–2 Strommen: Result & Stats

Asker

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 2

Strommen

K. Syvertsen 67'

J. Johansen 33'

N. Hristov 39'

S. Rindal 29'

9/13/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 20Foyka Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 39+ matches

Asker36%

×Draw23%

Strommen41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AskerExpected goals in this matchStrommen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

1.71

Asker

1.58

Strommen

1.71

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 42 home / 39 away

1.71

creates per match

1.64

1.79

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Asker

1.71

Strommen

1.64

allows per match

Asker

1.79

Strommen

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Asker+0.00on par

Strommen+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Asker ↓

Strommen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

Asker or draw

59%

Asker or Strommen

77%

Draw or Strommen

64%

Winning margin

Asker wins by 2+

17%

Strommen wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Asker 1+ goals

79%

Asker 2+ goals

47%

Asker 3+ goals

21%

Strommen 1+ goals

82%

Strommen 2+ goals

51%

Strommen 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

Asker (draw refunded)

46%

Strommen (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Asker at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.79 · 42 matches

Strommen away — creates 1.64, concedes 1.46 · 39 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Asker attack 1.71 + Strommen defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.58

Strommen attack 1.64 + Asker defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Asker scores more

36%

level

23%

Strommen scores more

41%

Strommen at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Strommen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

29'

S. Rindal

30'

H. Kristiansen← K. Somesi

33'

39'

59'

63'

66'

J. Kristengard← M. Sundberg

66'

L. Fajfric← N. Hristov

67'

K. Syvertsen

88'

M. Abbas← M. Paulsen

89'

R. M. Jabari S.

90+4'

S. Jorgensen← M. Baekken

Asker

Strommen

1

Vits

2

⚽

Rindal

4

Balatoni

24

▼

98

3

8

16

18

▼

Somesi

9

⚽

▼

Hristov

11

▼

30

3

14

21

29

7

8

11

▼

Baekken

18

Spiten-Ny

9

⚽

Johansen

77

⚽

Syvertsen

Manager: R. Bredal

90+4'▲S. Jorgensen←▼M. Baekken

Asker substitutes

50Karlsen6Pettersen12Heggset19Jorgensen20Sesay27Kenyi28Stokke

Manager: Ø. Heiberg

30'▲H. Kristiansen←▼K. Somesi

66'▲J. Kristengard←▼M. Sundberg

66'▲L. Fajfric←▼N. Hristov

88'▲M. Abbas←▼M. Paulsen

Strommen substitutes

30Kollstrom5Aadnoy6Solberg7Kristiansen13Solberg14Kristengard19Rogne27Fajfric55Abbas

2. Division - Group 2: Asker 2–2 Strommen

Asker and Strommen drew 2-2 in 2. Division - Group 2 on September 13, 2025.

Goals: S. Rindal (29'), J. Johansen (33'), N. Hristov (39'), K. Syvertsen (67').

The match was played at Foyka Stadium in Asker.

Asker vs Strommen — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

2. Division - Group 2: Asker 2–2 Strommen