Asker 5–1 Grorud: Result & Stats

Asker

FT

5 – 1

HT: 2 – 0

Grorud

M. Jatta 76', 28'

J. Johansen 70', 33'

M. Spiten-Nysaeter 53'

T. Satheeskumar 90'

8/2/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 14Foyka Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Asker35%

×Draw23%

Grorud43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AskerExpected goals in this matchGrorud

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

1.79

Asker

1.59

Grorud

1.79

Grorud creates 13% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 38 away

1.71

creates per match

1.79

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Asker

1.71

Grorud

1.79

allows per match

Asker

1.79

Grorud

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Asker+0.00on par

Grorud+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Asker ↓

Grorud →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–110%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Asker or draw

57%

Asker or Grorud

77%

Draw or Grorud

65%

Winning margin

Asker wins by 2+

17%

Grorud wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Asker 1+ goals

80%

Asker 2+ goals

47%

Asker 3+ goals

21%

Grorud 1+ goals

83%

Grorud 2+ goals

53%

Grorud 3+ goals

26%

Draw no bet

Asker (draw refunded)

45%

Grorud (draw refunded)

55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Asker at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.79 · 42 matches

Grorud away — creates 1.79, concedes 1.47 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Asker attack 1.71 + Grorud defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.59

Grorud attack 1.79 + Asker defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Asker scores more

35%

level

23%

Grorud scores more

43%

Grorud at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Grorud will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

S. Emanuelsen

28'

M. Jatta

33'

J. Johansen

46'

J. Kenyi← E. Fredriksen

53'

M. Spiten-Nysaeter

63'

W. Pozo-Venta← M. Mahnin

70'

J. Johansen

73'

E. Adukonis← J. Johansen

73'

T. Sosseh← C. Fjeld

73'

D. Ahmadzay← J. Rasen

76'

M. Jatta

79'

K. Otman← M. Dubois

80'

T. Satheeskumar← M. Sandrakumar

82'

E. Kristiansen← S. Emanuelsen

85'

85'

85'

85'

87'

87'

90'

Asker

Grorud

1

Kvarekval

2

▼

Sandrakum

3

Silfver-R

5

Brevik

15

▼

Fjeld

6

Beck

10

▼

Dubois

17

▼

Rasen

19

▼

7

20

30

3

▼

Larsen

14

Prent-Eck

22

▼

Emanuelse

29

Brennhaug

7

▼

Fredrikse

8

▼

Getz

18

⚽

Spiten-Ny

42

⚽2

Jatta

9

⚽2

▼

Johansen

77

Syvertsen

Manager: R. Bredal

46'▲J. Kenyi←▼E. Fredriksen

73'▲E. Adukonis←▼J. Johansen

82'▲E. Kristiansen←▼S. Emanuelsen

87'▲M. Baekken←▼K. Getz

87'▲L. Sesay←▼Y. Larsen

Asker substitutes

1Normann10Adukonis11Baekken12Heggset15Kristiansen20Sesay27Kenyi28Stokke

Manager: A. Alrek

63'▲W. Pozo-Venta←▼M. Mahnin

73'▲T. Sosseh←▼C. Fjeld

73'▲D. Ahmadzay←▼J. Rasen

79'▲K. Otman←▼M. Dubois

80'▲T. Satheeskumar←▼M. Sandrakumar

Grorud substitutes

31Moe11Pozo-Venta16Otman18Etholm23Sosseh25Satheeskumar34Ahmadzay35Kristensen

Asker 5 – 1 Grorud

Asker beat Grorud 5-1 in 2. Division - Group 2 on August 2, 2025.

Goals: M. Jatta (28', 76'), J. Johansen (33', 70'), M. Spiten-Nysaeter (53'), T. Satheeskumar (90').

The match was played at Foyka Stadium in Asker.

Asker vs Grorud — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Asker 5 – 1 Grorud