Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ashanti Gold vs UCC Youngsters — Division One League 2025

Ashanti Gold
Ashanti Gold
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
UCC Youngsters
UCC Youngsters
12/7/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 10Len Clay Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Ashanti Gold65%
×Draw20%
UCC Youngsters14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ashanti Gold
2.04
UCC Youngsters
0.83

Ashanti Gold creates 146% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Ashanti Gold
2.00
UCC Youngsters
1.00

allows per match

Ashanti Gold
0.67
UCC Youngsters
2.07

finishing

Ashanti Gold+0.00on par
UCC Youngsters+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ashanti Gold ↓

UCC Youngsters →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Ashanti Gold or draw
86%
Ashanti Gold or UCC Youngsters
80%
Draw or UCC Youngsters
35%

Winning margin

Ashanti Gold wins by 2+
41%
UCC Youngsters wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Ashanti Gold 1+ goals
87%
Ashanti Gold 2+ goals
60%
Ashanti Gold 3+ goals
33%
UCC Youngsters 1+ goals
56%
UCC Youngsters 2+ goals
20%
UCC Youngsters 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Ashanti Gold (draw refunded)
82%
UCC Youngsters (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ashanti Gold at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

UCC Youngsters away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.07 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ashanti Gold attack 2.00 + UCC Youngsters defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 2.04

UCC Youngsters attack 1.00 + Ashanti Gold defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Ashanti Gold scores more
65%
level
20%
UCC Youngsters scores more
14%

Ashanti Gold at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Ashanti Gold will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Ashanti Gold 3–1 UCC Youngsters

Ashanti Gold beat UCC Youngsters 3-1 in Division One League on December 7, 2025.

The match was played at Len Clay Stadium in Obuasi.