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Asante Kotoko vs Eleven Wonders — Premier League 2019

Asante Kotoko
Asante Kotoko
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Eleven Wonders
Eleven Wonders
5/10/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 32Baba Yara Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Asante Kotoko62%
×Draw24%
Eleven Wonders14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Asante Kotoko
1.63
Eleven Wonders
0.63

Asante Kotoko creates 159% more chances

Season form · 108 home / 58 away

creates per match

Asante Kotoko
1.47
Eleven Wonders
0.60

allows per match

Asante Kotoko
0.65
Eleven Wonders
1.79

finishing

Asante Kotoko+0.00on par
Eleven Wonders+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Asante Kotoko ↓

Eleven Wonders →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–17%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–111%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Asante Kotoko or draw
86%
Asante Kotoko or Eleven Wonders
76%
Draw or Eleven Wonders
38%

Winning margin

Asante Kotoko wins by 2+
34%
Eleven Wonders wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Asante Kotoko 1+ goals
80%
Asante Kotoko 2+ goals
48%
Asante Kotoko 3+ goals
22%
Eleven Wonders 1+ goals
47%
Eleven Wonders 2+ goals
13%
Eleven Wonders 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Asante Kotoko (draw refunded)
81%
Eleven Wonders (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Asante Kotoko at home — creates 1.47, concedes 0.65 · 108 matches

Eleven Wonders away — creates 0.60, concedes 1.79 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Asante Kotoko attack 1.47 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.63

Eleven Wonders attack 0.60 + Asante Kotoko defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Asante Kotoko scores more
62%
level
24%
Eleven Wonders scores more
14%

Asante Kotoko at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Asante Kotoko will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Asante Kotoko 2–0 Eleven Wonders

Asante Kotoko beat Eleven Wonders 2-0 in Premier League on May 10, 2026.

The match was played at Baba Yara Stadium in Kumasi.