Asante Kotoko 6–0 Bechem United: Result & Stats

Asante Kotoko

FT

6 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Bechem United

12/28/2025

Premier League · Round 16Baba Yara Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 108+ matches

Asante Kotoko56%

×Draw26%

Bechem United18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Asante KotokoExpected goals in this matchBechem United

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.51

0.73

Asante Kotoko

1.51

Bechem United

0.73

Asante Kotoko creates 107% more chances

Season form · 108 home / 108 away

1.47

creates per match

0.82

0.65

allows per match

1.55

creates per match

Asante Kotoko

1.47

Bechem United

0.82

allows per match

Asante Kotoko

0.65

Bechem United

1.55

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Asante Kotoko+0.00on par

Bechem United+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Asante Kotoko ↓

Bechem United →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Asante Kotoko or draw

82%

Asante Kotoko or Bechem United

74%

Draw or Bechem United

44%

Winning margin

Asante Kotoko wins by 2+

29%

Bechem United wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Asante Kotoko 1+ goals

78%

Asante Kotoko 2+ goals

44%

Asante Kotoko 3+ goals

19%

Bechem United 1+ goals

52%

Bechem United 2+ goals

17%

Bechem United 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Asante Kotoko (draw refunded)

76%

Bechem United (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Asante Kotoko at home — creates 1.47, concedes 0.65 · 108 matches

Bechem United away — creates 0.82, concedes 1.55 · 108 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Asante Kotoko attack 1.47 + Bechem United defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.51

Bechem United attack 0.82 + Asante Kotoko defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Asante Kotoko scores more

56%

level

26%

Bechem United scores more

18%

Asante Kotoko at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Asante Kotoko will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff