AS AIN Mlila 0–0 RC Relizane: Result & Stats

AS AIN Mlila

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

RC Relizane

1/26/2021

Ligue 1 · Round 10Stade Touhami Zoubir Khelifi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 40+ matches

AS AIN Mlila62%

×Draw23%

RC Relizane15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AS AIN MlilaExpected goals in this matchRC Relizane

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

0.69

AS AIN Mlila

1.73

RC Relizane

0.69

AS AIN Mlila creates 151% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 40 away

1.09

creates per match

0.80

0.58

allows per match

2.38

creates per match

AS AIN Mlila

1.09

RC Relizane

0.80

allows per match

AS AIN Mlila

0.58

RC Relizane

2.38

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

AS AIN Mlila+0.00on par

RC Relizane+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AS AIN Mlila ↓

RC Relizane →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–16%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

AS AIN Mlila or draw

85%

AS AIN Mlila or RC Relizane

77%

Draw or RC Relizane

38%

Winning margin

AS AIN Mlila wins by 2+

36%

RC Relizane wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

AS AIN Mlila 1+ goals

82%

AS AIN Mlila 2+ goals

52%

AS AIN Mlila 3+ goals

25%

RC Relizane 1+ goals

50%

RC Relizane 2+ goals

15%

RC Relizane 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

AS AIN Mlila (draw refunded)

81%

RC Relizane (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AS AIN Mlila at home — creates 1.09, concedes 0.58 · 45 matches

RC Relizane away — creates 0.80, concedes 2.38 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AS AIN Mlila attack 1.09 + RC Relizane defence 2.38 → ÷2 → 1.73

RC Relizane attack 0.80 + AS AIN Mlila defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

AS AIN Mlila scores more

62%

level

23%

RC Relizane scores more

15%

AS AIN Mlila at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "AS AIN Mlila will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

AS

RC

Manager: R. Iaïche

Manager: S. Cherif El Ouazani

Ligue 1: AS AIN Mlila 0–0 RC Relizane

AS AIN Mlila and RC Relizane drew 0-0 in Ligue 1 on January 26, 2021.

The match was played at Stade Touhami Zoubir Khelifi in Aïn M'lila.

AS AIN Mlila vs RC Relizane — Ligue 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Ligue 1: AS AIN Mlila 0–0 RC Relizane