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Artis vs Skalica — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Artis
Artis
FT
1 – 2
Skalica
Skalica
6/26/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Hřiště TJ Sokol Sedlec u Mikulova

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Artis43%
×Draw25%
Skalica33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Artis
1.56
Skalica
1.33

Artis creates 17% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 12 away

creates per match

Artis
1.88
Skalica
1.67

allows per match

Artis
1.00
Skalica
1.25

finishing

Artis+0.00on par
Skalica+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Artis ↓

Skalica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Artis or draw
67%
Artis or Skalica
75%
Draw or Skalica
57%

Winning margin

Artis wins by 2+
21%
Skalica wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Artis 1+ goals
79%
Artis 2+ goals
46%
Artis 3+ goals
21%
Skalica 1+ goals
74%
Skalica 2+ goals
38%
Skalica 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Artis (draw refunded)
57%
Skalica (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Artis at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Skalica away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.25 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Artis attack 1.88 + Skalica defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.56

Skalica attack 1.67 + Artis defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Artis scores more
43%
level
25%
Skalica scores more
33%

Artis at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Artis will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Artis 1–2 Skalica

Skalica beat Artis 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 26, 2021.

The match was played at Hřiště TJ Sokol Sedlec u Mikulova in Sedlec.