Argentinos JRS 0–1 Barcelona SC: Result & Stats

Argentinos JRS

Pens

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Barcelona SC

J. R. Quinonez Ruiz 66'

2/26/2026

CONMEBOL Libertadores · Qualification Round 2Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Argentinos JRS46%

×Draw31%

Barcelona SC23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Argentinos JRSExpected goals in this matchBarcelona SC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.13

0.70

Argentinos JRS

1.13

Barcelona SC

0.70

Argentinos JRS creates 61% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 30 away

0.88

creates per match

0.77

0.63

allows per match

1.37

creates per match

Argentinos JRS

0.88

Barcelona SC

0.77

allows per match

Argentinos JRS

0.63

Barcelona SC

1.37

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Argentinos JRS+0.00on par

Barcelona SC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under72
Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No66
Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Argentinos JRS ↓

Barcelona SC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–111%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–113%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

55%45%2.5

28%72%3.5

11%89%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Argentinos JRS or draw

77%

Argentinos JRS or Barcelona SC

69%

Draw or Barcelona SC

54%

Winning margin

Argentinos JRS wins by 2+

20%

Barcelona SC wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Argentinos JRS 1+ goals

68%

Argentinos JRS 2+ goals

31%

Argentinos JRS 3+ goals

11%

Barcelona SC 1+ goals

50%

Barcelona SC 2+ goals

16%

Barcelona SC 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Argentinos JRS (draw refunded)

67%

Barcelona SC (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Argentinos JRS at home — creates 0.88, concedes 0.63 · 8 matches

Barcelona SC away — creates 0.77, concedes 1.37 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Argentinos JRS attack 0.88 + Barcelona SC defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.13

Barcelona SC attack 0.77 + Argentinos JRS defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Argentinos JRS scores more

46%

level

31%

Barcelona SC scores more

23%

Argentinos JRS at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Argentinos JRS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

J. Contreras

Barcelona SC · G

8.0

Match Events

12'

N. OrozGoal Disallowed - handball

33'

D. Benedetto

41'

B. Carabali

45+5'

T. Martinez

58'

L. Giaccone← E. Viveros

62'

J. Rojas

64'

T. Martinez← B. Castillo

64'

S. Nunez← D. Benedetto

64'

H. Villalba← J. Mina

65'

A. Rangel

66'

J. R. Quinonez Ruiz↳ M. Celiz

68'

G. Vallecilla

69'

L. Fernandez← N. Oroz

73'

F. Fattori

74'

W. Vargas← B. Carabali

77'

I. Morales← D. Porcel

78'

M. Parrales← J. Rojas

90+1'

A. Lescano

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ArgentinosBarcelona

Overview

70%Possession30%

10Total Shots6

0.65Expected Goals (xG)0.19

3Corners1

14Fouls17

Shots

10Total Shots6

7On Target3

1Off Target2

2Blocked1

3Inside Box1

7Outside Box5

Passing

70%Possession30%

548Total Passes246

459Accurate Passes138

84%Pass Accuracy56%

Goalkeeping

2Saves8

1.24Goals Prevented1.24

Discipline

14Fouls17

2Yellow Cards6

5Offsides0

Match Recap: Argentinos JRS vs Barcelona SC

Barcelona SC beat Argentinos JRS 1-0 in CONMEBOL Libertadores on February 26, 2026.

Goals: J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (66').

Argentinos JRS controlled possession (70%) and registered 10 shots to 6.

The match was played at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona in Buenos Aires.

Argentinos JRS vs Barcelona SC — CONMEBOL Libertadores 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Argentinos JRS vs Barcelona SC