Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Argentino Rosario vs General Lamadrid — Primera C 2026

Argentino Rosario
Argentino Rosario
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 2
General Lamadrid
General Lamadrid
7/19/2025Primera CPrimera C · Round 18Estadio José María Olaeta

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 50+ matches

Argentino Rosario46%
×Draw28%
General Lamadrid26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Argentino Rosario
1.33
General Lamadrid
0.94

Argentino Rosario creates 41% more chances

Season form · 50 home / 136 away

creates per match

Argentino Rosario
1.30
General Lamadrid
1.01

allows per match

Argentino Rosario
0.86
General Lamadrid
1.36

finishing

Argentino Rosario+0.00on par
General Lamadrid+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Argentino Rosario ↓

General Lamadrid →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Argentino Rosario or draw
74%
Argentino Rosario or General Lamadrid
72%
Draw or General Lamadrid
54%

Winning margin

Argentino Rosario wins by 2+
21%
General Lamadrid wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Argentino Rosario 1+ goals
74%
Argentino Rosario 2+ goals
38%
Argentino Rosario 3+ goals
15%
General Lamadrid 1+ goals
61%
General Lamadrid 2+ goals
24%
General Lamadrid 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Argentino Rosario (draw refunded)
63%
General Lamadrid (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Argentino Rosario at home — creates 1.30, concedes 0.86 · 50 matches

General Lamadrid away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.36 · 136 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Argentino Rosario attack 1.30 + General Lamadrid defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.33

General Lamadrid attack 1.01 + Argentino Rosario defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Argentino Rosario scores more
46%
level
28%
General Lamadrid scores more
26%

Argentino Rosario at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Argentino Rosario will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Argentino Rosario vs General Lamadrid

Argentino Rosario and General Lamadrid drew 2-2 in Primera C on July 19, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio José María Olaeta in Rosario.