Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Argentino Rosario vs Central Cordoba — Primera C 2026

Argentino Rosario
Argentino Rosario
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Central Cordoba
Central Cordoba
L. Zapata 81'
F. Marin 31'
8/3/2024Primera CPrimera C · Clausura - 5Estadio José María Olaeta

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 50+ matches

Argentino Rosario43%
×Draw30%
Central Cordoba27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Argentino Rosario
1.18
Central Cordoba
0.88

Argentino Rosario creates 34% more chances

Season form · 50 home / 136 away

creates per match

Argentino Rosario
1.30
Central Cordoba
0.89

allows per match

Argentino Rosario
0.86
Central Cordoba
1.06

finishing

Argentino Rosario+0.00on par
Central Cordoba+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Argentino Rosario ↓

Central Cordoba →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–111%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Argentino Rosario or draw
73%
Argentino Rosario or Central Cordoba
70%
Draw or Central Cordoba
57%

Winning margin

Argentino Rosario wins by 2+
18%
Central Cordoba wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Argentino Rosario 1+ goals
69%
Argentino Rosario 2+ goals
33%
Argentino Rosario 3+ goals
12%
Central Cordoba 1+ goals
59%
Central Cordoba 2+ goals
22%
Central Cordoba 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Argentino Rosario (draw refunded)
61%
Central Cordoba (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Argentino Rosario at home — creates 1.30, concedes 0.86 · 50 matches

Central Cordoba away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.06 · 136 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Argentino Rosario attack 1.30 + Central Cordoba defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.18

Central Cordoba attack 0.89 + Argentino Rosario defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Argentino Rosario scores more
43%
level
30%
Central Cordoba scores more
27%

Argentino Rosario at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Argentino Rosario will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

31'
F. Marin
81'
L. Zapata

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Argentino Rosario 1 – 1 Central Cordoba

Argentino Rosario and Central Cordoba drew 1-1 in Primera C on August 3, 2024.

Goals: F. Marin (31'), L. Zapata (81').

The match was played at Estadio José María Olaeta in Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe.