Apoel Nicosia 0–0 Krasava Ypsonas: Result & Stats

Apoel Nicosia

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Krasava Ypsonas

12/13/2025

1. Division · Round 14GSP Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Apoel Nicosia49%

×Draw24%

Krasava Ypsonas27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Apoel NicosiaExpected goals in this matchKrasava Ypsonas

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.19

Apoel Nicosia

1.67

Krasava Ypsonas

1.19

Apoel Nicosia creates 40% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 6 away

1.66

creates per match

1.30

1.07

allows per match

1.69

creates per match

Apoel Nicosia

1.66

Krasava Ypsonas

1.30

allows per match

Apoel Nicosia

1.07

Krasava Ypsonas

1.69

+0.05on par

finishing

-0.30scores less than expected

finishing

Apoel Nicosia+0.05on par

Krasava Ypsonas-0.30scores less

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Apoel Nicosia ↓

Krasava Ypsonas →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Apoel Nicosia or draw

73%

Apoel Nicosia or Krasava Ypsonas

76%

Draw or Krasava Ypsonas

51%

Winning margin

Apoel Nicosia wins by 2+

26%

Krasava Ypsonas wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Apoel Nicosia 1+ goals

81%

Apoel Nicosia 2+ goals

50%

Apoel Nicosia 3+ goals

23%

Krasava Ypsonas 1+ goals

70%

Krasava Ypsonas 2+ goals

33%

Krasava Ypsonas 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Apoel Nicosia (draw refunded)

64%

Krasava Ypsonas (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Apoel Nicosia at home — creates 1.66, concedes 1.07 · 21 matches

Krasava Ypsonas away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.69 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Apoel Nicosia attack 1.66 + Krasava Ypsonas defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.67

Krasava Ypsonas attack 1.30 + Apoel Nicosia defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Apoel Nicosia scores more

49%

level

24%

Krasava Ypsonas scores more

27%

Apoel Nicosia at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Apoel Nicosia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

91

M. Zadro

Krasava Ypsonas · G

8.5

Match Events

16'

Gabriel Maioli← G. Satsias

46'

Geovane Meurer← D. Abagna

54'

Luiyi de Lucas

57'

Yevgen Budnik

68'

Vitor Meer← Nanu

68'

D. Diamantakos← N. Koutsakos

68'

C. Poursaitidis← S. Drazic

82'

Thiago← M. de Iriondo

89'

E. Davidyan← M. Koumouris

90+8'

Konstantinos Stafylidis

90+1'

90+1'

90+1'

90+5'

90+6'

K. Da Graca← E. Budnik

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ApoelKrasava

Overview

61%Possession39%

15Total Shots11

1.43Expected Goals (xG)1.15

5Corners5

9Fouls15

Shots

15Total Shots11

6On Target3

6Off Target4

3Blocked3

8Inside Box4

7Outside Box7

Passing

61%Possession39%

494Total Passes314

430Accurate Passes251

87%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

Discipline

9Fouls15

2Yellow Cards3

1Red Cards0

0Offsides0