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Antwerp vs Olympiakos Piraeus — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Antwerp
Antwerp
Preview
17:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
7/24/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
39%
Antwerp
model favours
39%33%28%

Antwerp score first in only 13% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–0
likely score
73%
under 2.5 goals
35%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Antwerp39%
×Draw33%
Olympiakos Piraeus28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.4%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Antwerp
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.79

Antwerp creates 27% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

Antwerp
0.50
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.33

allows per match

Antwerp
1.25
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.50

finishing

Antwerp+0.00on par
Olympiakos Piraeus+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Antwerp ↓

Olympiakos Piraeus →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–113%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (17%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
53%47%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Antwerp or draw
72%
Antwerp or Olympiakos Piraeus
67%
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus
61%

Winning margin

Antwerp wins by 2+
15%
Olympiakos Piraeus wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Antwerp 1+ goals
63%
Antwerp 2+ goals
26%
Antwerp 3+ goals
8%
Olympiakos Piraeus 1+ goals
55%
Olympiakos Piraeus 2+ goals
19%
Olympiakos Piraeus 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Antwerp (draw refunded)
59%
Olympiakos Piraeus (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Antwerp at home — creates 0.50, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

Olympiakos Piraeus away — creates 0.33, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Antwerp attack 0.50 + Olympiakos Piraeus defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.00

Olympiakos Piraeus attack 0.33 + Antwerp defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Antwerp scores more
39%
level
33%
Olympiakos Piraeus scores more
28%

Antwerp at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Antwerp will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 41% of Olympiakos Piraeus’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Antwerp
WLDW
Piraeus
LWDWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Antwerp host Olympiakos Piraeus

July 24, 2026: Antwerp take on Olympiakos Piraeus in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.