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Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings — K League 2 2026

Ansan Greeners
Ansan Greeners
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Suwon Bluewings
Suwon Bluewings
3/17/2024K League 2K League 2 · Round 3Ansan Wa Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Ansan Greeners28%
×Draw26%
Suwon Bluewings47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ansan Greeners
1.09
Suwon Bluewings
1.50

Suwon Bluewings creates 38% more chances

Season form · 154 home / 45 away

creates per match

Ansan Greeners
0.99
Suwon Bluewings
1.51

allows per match

Ansan Greeners
1.48
Suwon Bluewings
1.20

finishing

Ansan Greeners+0.00on par
Suwon Bluewings+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ansan Greeners ↓

Suwon Bluewings →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–111%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Ansan Greeners or draw
53%
Ansan Greeners or Suwon Bluewings
74%
Draw or Suwon Bluewings
72%

Winning margin

Ansan Greeners wins by 2+
11%
Suwon Bluewings wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Ansan Greeners 1+ goals
66%
Ansan Greeners 2+ goals
30%
Ansan Greeners 3+ goals
10%
Suwon Bluewings 1+ goals
78%
Suwon Bluewings 2+ goals
44%
Suwon Bluewings 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Ansan Greeners (draw refunded)
37%
Suwon Bluewings (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ansan Greeners at home — creates 0.99, concedes 1.48 · 154 matches

Suwon Bluewings away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.20 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ansan Greeners attack 0.99 + Suwon Bluewings defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.09

Suwon Bluewings attack 1.51 + Ansan Greeners defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Ansan Greeners scores more
28%
level
26%
Suwon Bluewings scores more
47%

Suwon Bluewings at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Suwon Bluewings will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

K League 2: Ansan Greeners 0–1 Suwon Bluewings

Suwon Bluewings beat Ansan Greeners 1-0 in K League 2 on March 17, 2024.

The match was played at Ansan Wa Stadium in Ansan.